Latest forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Mexico City on September 4, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Scattered showers or convective clouds typical of the region's rainy season could cap the peak by limiting surface heating, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation might allow a brief spike toward 28°C. These factors explain the tight market split between 26°C and 27°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 4 de septiembre?
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
28°C 14%
25°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
40%
27°C
42%
28°C
14%
29°C o más
2%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
28°C 14%
25°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$85 Vol.
1%
20°C
$85 Vol.
1%
21°C
$85 Vol.
1%
22°C
$196 Vol.
1%
23°C
$87 Vol.
2%
24°C
$125 Vol.
2%
25°C
$180 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,280 Vol.
40%
27°C
$321 Vol.
42%
28°C
$334 Vol.
14%
29°C o más
$119 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Mexico City on September 4, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Scattered showers or convective clouds typical of the region's rainy season could cap the peak by limiting surface heating, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation might allow a brief spike toward 28°C. These factors explain the tight market split between 26°C and 27°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,887Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Mexico City on September 4, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Scattered showers or convective clouds typical of the region's rainy season could cap the peak by limiting surface heating, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation might allow a brief spike toward 28°C. These factors explain the tight market split between 26°C and 27°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,887Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Mexico City on September 4, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Scattered showers or convective clouds typical of the region's rainy season could cap the peak by limiting surface heating, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation might allow a brief spike toward 28°C. These factors explain the tight market split between 26°C and 27°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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