An incoming frontal system with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and widespread rain is the dominant factor suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 2. Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 66-67°F under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with measurable precipitation likely during peak heating hours, well below the late-summer climatological average of about 74°F. This setup favors the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 64-65°F. No significant model divergences have emerged in the latest runs, though final resolution will hinge on exact timing of cloud breaks and any localized heating before the heavier rain arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de septiembre?
66-67°F 37%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 15%
62-63°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o más
1%
66-67°F 37%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 15%
62-63°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
55°F o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$60 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$45 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
8%
62-63°F
$46 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$913 Vol.
25%
66-67°F
$236 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$771 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$354 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$94 Vol.
1%
74°F o más
$81 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming frontal system with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and widespread rain is the dominant factor suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 2. Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 66-67°F under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with measurable precipitation likely during peak heating hours, well below the late-summer climatological average of about 74°F. This setup favors the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 64-65°F. No significant model divergences have emerged in the latest runs, though final resolution will hinge on exact timing of cloud breaks and any localized heating before the heavier rain arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,601Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming frontal system with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and widespread rain is the dominant factor suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 2. Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 66-67°F under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with measurable precipitation likely during peak heating hours, well below the late-summer climatological average of about 74°F. This setup favors the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 64-65°F. No significant model divergences have emerged in the latest runs, though final resolution will hinge on exact timing of cloud breaks and any localized heating before the heavier rain arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,601Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...An incoming frontal system with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and widespread rain is the dominant factor suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 2. Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 66-67°F under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with measurable precipitation likely during peak heating hours, well below the late-summer climatological average of about 74°F. This setup favors the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 64-65°F. No significant model divergences have emerged in the latest runs, though final resolution will hinge on exact timing of cloud breaks and any localized heating before the heavier rain arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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