Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seattle el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seattle el 2 de septiembre?
52-53°F 89%
54-55°F 89%
58-59°F 89%
60-61°F 88%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
49°F o menos
69%
50-51°F
38%
52-53°F
89%
54-55°F
89%
56-57°F
55%
58-59°F
89%
60-61°F
88%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
19%
68°F o más
14%
52-53°F 89%
54-55°F 89%
58-59°F 89%
60-61°F 88%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
49°F o menos
$15 Vol.
69%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
38%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
89%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
89%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
55%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
89%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
88%
62-63°F
$15 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
19%
68°F o más
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$45Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$45Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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