Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national models show a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 6, with the minimum temperature most likely settling between 11–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Limited radiative cooling from variable cloud cover and modest wind speeds prevents deeper drops, while the prevailing air mass remains slightly above seasonal norms. Historical September lows average near 12 °C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities across 10–14 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve subtle differences in nocturnal cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with final guidance expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 6 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 6 de septiembre?
14°C 49%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
13°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
8°C o menos
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
19%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
17%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C o más
1%
14°C 49%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
13°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$0 Vol.
7%
9°C
$0 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
15%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national models show a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 6, with the minimum temperature most likely settling between 11–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Limited radiative cooling from variable cloud cover and modest wind speeds prevents deeper drops, while the prevailing air mass remains slightly above seasonal norms. Historical September lows average near 12 °C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities across 10–14 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve subtle differences in nocturnal cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with final guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national models show a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 6, with the minimum temperature most likely settling between 11–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Limited radiative cooling from variable cloud cover and modest wind speeds prevents deeper drops, while the prevailing air mass remains slightly above seasonal norms. Historical September lows average near 12 °C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities across 10–14 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve subtle differences in nocturnal cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with final guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national models show a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 6, with the minimum temperature most likely settling between 11–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Limited radiative cooling from variable cloud cover and modest wind speeds prevents deeper drops, while the prevailing air mass remains slightly above seasonal norms. Historical September lows average near 12 °C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities across 10–14 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve subtle differences in nocturnal cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with final guidance expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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