**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and international sources point to a minimum temperature of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 5, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure and low humidity has produced this narrow range across multiple runs, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects traders' assessment of this tight forecast band and limited upside or downside risk as the day progresses. A colder outcome below 13°C would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover that enhances cooling, but current observations and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 5 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 5 de septiembre?
13°C o menos 35%
14°C 15%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
13°C o menos
35%
14°C
15%
15°C
65%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
13°C o menos 35%
14°C 15%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$10 Vol.
35%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$137 Vol.
65%
16°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and international sources point to a minimum temperature of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 5, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure and low humidity has produced this narrow range across multiple runs, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects traders' assessment of this tight forecast band and limited upside or downside risk as the day progresses. A colder outcome below 13°C would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover that enhances cooling, but current observations and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$651Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and international sources point to a minimum temperature of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 5, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure and low humidity has produced this narrow range across multiple runs, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects traders' assessment of this tight forecast band and limited upside or downside risk as the day progresses. A colder outcome below 13°C would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover that enhances cooling, but current observations and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$651Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and international sources point to a minimum temperature of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 5, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure and low humidity has produced this narrow range across multiple runs, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects traders' assessment of this tight forecast band and limited upside or downside risk as the day progresses. A colder outcome below 13°C would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover that enhances cooling, but current observations and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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