Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s, and surface pressure near 1015–1016 hPa, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–21°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew point (near 17–19°C), or urban heat island effects from the Bosphorus can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C, while higher outcomes above 22°C remain improbable given the stable high-pressure regime and absence of warmer advection. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows limited model spread at this stage, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise on September 13.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 12 de septiembre?
14°C o inferior 98%
15°C 98%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
14°C o inferior
98%
15°C
98%
16°C
98%
17°C
98%
18°C
98%
19°C
92%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
14°C o inferior 98%
15°C 98%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
14°C o inferior
$0 Vol.
98%
15°C
$0 Vol.
98%
16°C
$0 Vol.
98%
17°C
$135 Vol.
98%
18°C
$135 Vol.
98%
19°C
$67 Vol.
92%
20°C
$5 Vol.
50%
21°C
$3 Vol.
50%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s, and surface pressure near 1015–1016 hPa, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–21°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew point (near 17–19°C), or urban heat island effects from the Bosphorus can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C, while higher outcomes above 22°C remain improbable given the stable high-pressure regime and absence of warmer advection. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows limited model spread at this stage, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise on September 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$375Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s, and surface pressure near 1015–1016 hPa, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–21°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew point (near 17–19°C), or urban heat island effects from the Bosphorus can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C, while higher outcomes above 22°C remain improbable given the stable high-pressure regime and absence of warmer advection. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows limited model spread at this stage, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise on September 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$375Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s, and surface pressure near 1015–1016 hPa, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–21°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew point (near 17–19°C), or urban heat island effects from the Bosphorus can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C, while higher outcomes above 22°C remain improbable given the stable high-pressure regime and absence of warmer advection. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows limited model spread at this stage, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise on September 13.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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