Recent northerly winds and increasing cloud cover amid an autumn transition are driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 15–19°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13. Model consensus shows overnight temperatures influenced by moderate humidity (around 70–80%) and variable radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with forecasts from official sources placing the low near 17–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but a recent cooling trend of several degrees and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against latest regional model runs, with no single outcome exceeding 51% as conditions evolve through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 13 de septiembre?
17°C 100%
15°C o menos 98.9%
18°C 92%
19°C <1%
$649 Vol.
$649 Vol.
13 sep 2026
15°C o menos
99%
16°C
-
17°C
100%
18°C
92%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
17°C 100%
15°C o menos 98.9%
18°C 92%
19°C <1%
$649 Vol.
$649 Vol.
13 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$0 Vol.
99%
16°C
$88 Vol.
-
17°C
$145 Vol.
100%
18°C
$270 Vol.
92%
19°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and increasing cloud cover amid an autumn transition are driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 15–19°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13. Model consensus shows overnight temperatures influenced by moderate humidity (around 70–80%) and variable radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with forecasts from official sources placing the low near 17–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but a recent cooling trend of several degrees and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against latest regional model runs, with no single outcome exceeding 51% as conditions evolve through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$649Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and increasing cloud cover amid an autumn transition are driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 15–19°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13. Model consensus shows overnight temperatures influenced by moderate humidity (around 70–80%) and variable radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with forecasts from official sources placing the low near 17–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but a recent cooling trend of several degrees and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against latest regional model runs, with no single outcome exceeding 51% as conditions evolve through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$649Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and increasing cloud cover amid an autumn transition are driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 15–19°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13. Model consensus shows overnight temperatures influenced by moderate humidity (around 70–80%) and variable radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with forecasts from official sources placing the low near 17–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but a recent cooling trend of several degrees and potential scattered showers introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against latest regional model runs, with no single outcome exceeding 51% as conditions evolve through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes