Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Miami on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 5?
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
84-85°F 18%
74-75°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jul 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
5%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
84-85°F 18%
74-75°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jul 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$182 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$142 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$181 Vol.
5%
88°F or higher
$105 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$616Fecha de finalización
5 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$616Fecha de finalización
5 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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