Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in the Southern District of New York after his January 2026 capture and transfer to custody. He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with the trial set for June 2027. Defense motions seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and jurisdictional grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. These pretrial challenges, the extended timeline until resolution, and the complexity of prosecuting a former head of state contribute to trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on every count. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may aid prosecutors but has not altered the case's early procedural stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Maduro culpable de todos los cargos?
¿Maduro culpable de todos los cargos?
Sí
21% probabilidad
$133,116 Vol.
$133,116 Vol.
30 dic 2027
Sí
21% probabilidad
$133,116 Vol.
$133,116 Vol.
30 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in the Southern District of New York after his January 2026 capture and transfer to custody. He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with the trial set for June 2027. Defense motions seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and jurisdictional grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. These pretrial challenges, the extended timeline until resolution, and the complexity of prosecuting a former head of state contribute to trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on every count. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may aid prosecutors but has not altered the case's early procedural stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$133,116Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in the Southern District of New York after his January 2026 capture and transfer to custody. He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with the trial set for June 2027. Defense motions seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and jurisdictional grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. These pretrial challenges, the extended timeline until resolution, and the complexity of prosecuting a former head of state contribute to trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on every count. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may aid prosecutors but has not altered the case's early procedural stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$133,116Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in the Southern District of New York after his January 2026 capture and transfer to custody. He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with the trial set for June 2027. Defense motions seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and jurisdictional grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. These pretrial challenges, the extended timeline until resolution, and the complexity of prosecuting a former head of state contribute to trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on every count. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may aid prosecutors but has not altered the case's early procedural stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes