Brazil's constitutional process for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice demands formal initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, thresholds never met since the court's founding. Despite multiple petitions and an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes tied to the Banco Master scandal, Senate leadership has advanced none to committee or floor consideration. December 2025 rulings by Justice Mendes further clarified procedural limits, requiring prosecutor-general standing and supermajority approval, with the full court upholding the framework. Approaching 2026 legislative elections and absence of scheduled votes reinforce political inertia, sustaining trader consensus that institutional safeguards and lack of momentum make any removal before 2027 highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$70,751 Vol.
$70,751 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$70,751 Vol.
$70,751 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's constitutional process for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice demands formal initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, thresholds never met since the court's founding. Despite multiple petitions and an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes tied to the Banco Master scandal, Senate leadership has advanced none to committee or floor consideration. December 2025 rulings by Justice Mendes further clarified procedural limits, requiring prosecutor-general standing and supermajority approval, with the full court upholding the framework. Approaching 2026 legislative elections and absence of scheduled votes reinforce political inertia, sustaining trader consensus that institutional safeguards and lack of momentum make any removal before 2027 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volumen
$70,751Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's constitutional process for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice demands formal initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, thresholds never met since the court's founding. Despite multiple petitions and an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes tied to the Banco Master scandal, Senate leadership has advanced none to committee or floor consideration. December 2025 rulings by Justice Mendes further clarified procedural limits, requiring prosecutor-general standing and supermajority approval, with the full court upholding the framework. Approaching 2026 legislative elections and absence of scheduled votes reinforce political inertia, sustaining trader consensus that institutional safeguards and lack of momentum make any removal before 2027 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$70,751Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's constitutional process for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice demands formal initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, thresholds never met since the court's founding. Despite multiple petitions and an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes tied to the Banco Master scandal, Senate leadership has advanced none to committee or floor consideration. December 2025 rulings by Justice Mendes further clarified procedural limits, requiring prosecutor-general standing and supermajority approval, with the full court upholding the framework. Approaching 2026 legislative elections and absence of scheduled votes reinforce political inertia, sustaining trader consensus that institutional safeguards and lack of momentum make any removal before 2027 highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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