US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 after his capture, charging him with four felony counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, and a judge set a June 2027 trial date in July 2026 while defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds. Pre-trial motions, including those challenging jurisdiction and the circumstances of his transfer to New York, remain pending with a November 2026 hearing scheduled. The extended timeline until resolution, combined with the case's novel legal issues and historical precedents for similar prosecutions, supports trader expectations that conviction on every count is unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
29% probabilidad
$128,368 Vol.
$128,368 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sí
29% probabilidad
$128,368 Vol.
$128,368 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 after his capture, charging him with four felony counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, and a judge set a June 2027 trial date in July 2026 while defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds. Pre-trial motions, including those challenging jurisdiction and the circumstances of his transfer to New York, remain pending with a November 2026 hearing scheduled. The extended timeline until resolution, combined with the case's novel legal issues and historical precedents for similar prosecutions, supports trader expectations that conviction on every count is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$128,368Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 after his capture, charging him with four felony counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, and a judge set a June 2027 trial date in July 2026 while defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds. Pre-trial motions, including those challenging jurisdiction and the circumstances of his transfer to New York, remain pending with a November 2026 hearing scheduled. The extended timeline until resolution, combined with the case's novel legal issues and historical precedents for similar prosecutions, supports trader expectations that conviction on every count is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$128,368Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 after his capture, charging him with four felony counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, and a judge set a June 2027 trial date in July 2026 while defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds. Pre-trial motions, including those challenging jurisdiction and the circumstances of his transfer to New York, remain pending with a November 2026 hearing scheduled. The extended timeline until resolution, combined with the case's novel legal issues and historical precedents for similar prosecutions, supports trader expectations that conviction on every count is unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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