Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability that former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will be found guilty of all counts in the Southern District of New York narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy indictment, reflecting the case's early pretrial stage more than four months after his January 2026 not guilty plea following U.S. capture. Recent developments include a May 5 federal judge postponing hearings to June 30 amid disputes over legal fees—resolved in April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government funding—and prior March denial of defense motions to dismiss charges. With no trial date set and historical narcoterrorism prosecutions often yielding pleas to lesser offenses rather than full convictions, traders anticipate procedural hurdles and potential compromises extending beyond the market's December 2027 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$102,583 Vol.
$102,583 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sí
$102,583 Vol.
$102,583 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability that former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will be found guilty of all counts in the Southern District of New York narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy indictment, reflecting the case's early pretrial stage more than four months after his January 2026 not guilty plea following U.S. capture. Recent developments include a May 5 federal judge postponing hearings to June 30 amid disputes over legal fees—resolved in April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government funding—and prior March denial of defense motions to dismiss charges. With no trial date set and historical narcoterrorism prosecutions often yielding pleas to lesser offenses rather than full convictions, traders anticipate procedural hurdles and potential compromises extending beyond the market's December 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$102,583Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability that former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will be found guilty of all counts in the Southern District of New York narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy indictment, reflecting the case's early pretrial stage more than four months after his January 2026 not guilty plea following U.S. capture. Recent developments include a May 5 federal judge postponing hearings to June 30 amid disputes over legal fees—resolved in April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government funding—and prior March denial of defense motions to dismiss charges. With no trial date set and historical narcoterrorism prosecutions often yielding pleas to lesser offenses rather than full convictions, traders anticipate procedural hurdles and potential compromises extending beyond the market's December 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$102,583Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability that former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will be found guilty of all counts in the Southern District of New York narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy indictment, reflecting the case's early pretrial stage more than four months after his January 2026 not guilty plea following U.S. capture. Recent developments include a May 5 federal judge postponing hearings to June 30 amid disputes over legal fees—resolved in April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government funding—and prior March denial of defense motions to dismiss charges. With no trial date set and historical narcoterrorism prosecutions often yielding pleas to lesser offenses rather than full convictions, traders anticipate procedural hurdles and potential compromises extending beyond the market's December 2027 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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