US federal prosecutors indicted Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date now set in Manhattan federal court. Defense counsel plans motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds, while similar past narcoterrorism prosecutions have faced reversals tied to witness credibility. Pre-trial hearings continue, including a November 2026 session for filings, leaving ample time for procedural challenges and plea negotiations before any verdict on all counts. Trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% probability for “No” aligns with these extended timelines and structural hurdles in high-profile cases involving former heads of state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
28% probabilidad
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sí
28% probabilidad
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors indicted Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date now set in Manhattan federal court. Defense counsel plans motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds, while similar past narcoterrorism prosecutions have faced reversals tied to witness credibility. Pre-trial hearings continue, including a November 2026 session for filings, leaving ample time for procedural challenges and plea negotiations before any verdict on all counts. Trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% probability for “No” aligns with these extended timelines and structural hurdles in high-profile cases involving former heads of state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$126,284Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors indicted Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date now set in Manhattan federal court. Defense counsel plans motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds, while similar past narcoterrorism prosecutions have faced reversals tied to witness credibility. Pre-trial hearings continue, including a November 2026 session for filings, leaving ample time for procedural challenges and plea negotiations before any verdict on all counts. Trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% probability for “No” aligns with these extended timelines and structural hurdles in high-profile cases involving former heads of state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$126,284Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal prosecutors indicted Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date now set in Manhattan federal court. Defense counsel plans motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds, while similar past narcoterrorism prosecutions have faced reversals tied to witness credibility. Pre-trial hearings continue, including a November 2026 session for filings, leaving ample time for procedural challenges and plea negotiations before any verdict on all counts. Trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% probability for “No” aligns with these extended timelines and structural hurdles in high-profile cases involving former heads of state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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