Virginia’s 11 House seats remain under the pre-2026 map after courts struck down the Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan that voters had narrowly approved in April. Democrats currently hold six seats and are targeting the two most competitive Republican-held districts—VA-1, where incumbent Rob Wittman faces prosecutor Shannon Taylor, and VA-2, the rematch between Rep. Jen Kiggans and former Rep. Elaine Luria—following August primaries. Recent polling and fundraising data show these races remain close, with outcomes sensitive to national midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and military-heavy areas, and any late shifts in the broader political environment. Trader consensus around seven or eight Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains in these battlegrounds, while paths to nine or more would require stronger Democratic performance or additional surprises in lean-Republican territory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado8 34%
7 28%
9+ 23%
6 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<5
1%
5
2%
6
18%
7
28%
8
34%
9+
23%
8 34%
7 28%
9+ 23%
6 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<5
$137 Vol.
1%
5
$167 Vol.
2%
6
$1,058 Vol.
18%
7
$733 Vol.
28%
8
$457 Vol.
34%
9+
$291 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s 11 House seats remain under the pre-2026 map after courts struck down the Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan that voters had narrowly approved in April. Democrats currently hold six seats and are targeting the two most competitive Republican-held districts—VA-1, where incumbent Rob Wittman faces prosecutor Shannon Taylor, and VA-2, the rematch between Rep. Jen Kiggans and former Rep. Elaine Luria—following August primaries. Recent polling and fundraising data show these races remain close, with outcomes sensitive to national midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and military-heavy areas, and any late shifts in the broader political environment. Trader consensus around seven or eight Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains in these battlegrounds, while paths to nine or more would require stronger Democratic performance or additional surprises in lean-Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Volumen
$2,844Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s 11 House seats remain under the pre-2026 map after courts struck down the Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan that voters had narrowly approved in April. Democrats currently hold six seats and are targeting the two most competitive Republican-held districts—VA-1, where incumbent Rob Wittman faces prosecutor Shannon Taylor, and VA-2, the rematch between Rep. Jen Kiggans and former Rep. Elaine Luria—following August primaries. Recent polling and fundraising data show these races remain close, with outcomes sensitive to national midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and military-heavy areas, and any late shifts in the broader political environment. Trader consensus around seven or eight Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains in these battlegrounds, while paths to nine or more would require stronger Democratic performance or additional surprises in lean-Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,844Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Virginia’s 11 House seats remain under the pre-2026 map after courts struck down the Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan that voters had narrowly approved in April. Democrats currently hold six seats and are targeting the two most competitive Republican-held districts—VA-1, where incumbent Rob Wittman faces prosecutor Shannon Taylor, and VA-2, the rematch between Rep. Jen Kiggans and former Rep. Elaine Luria—following August primaries. Recent polling and fundraising data show these races remain close, with outcomes sensitive to national midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and military-heavy areas, and any late shifts in the broader political environment. Trader consensus around seven or eight Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains in these battlegrounds, while paths to nine or more would require stronger Democratic performance or additional surprises in lean-Republican territory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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