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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

dic 31

dic 31

55% probabilidad
Polymarket

$13,918 Vol.

55% probabilidad
Polymarket

$13,918 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains Commerce Secretary in June 2026, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 and continuing to lead tariff, trade, and GDP initiatives under President Trump. Democratic calls for his resignation intensified after February 2026 Senate testimony on his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein, including a 2012 island visit, prompting House Oversight letters in May. Republican committee leadership has dismissed these demands, and no administration action or Senate pressure has emerged to remove him. Similar prediction markets reflect low near-term exit odds, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent is likely to complete the year absent a direct presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,918
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains Commerce Secretary in June 2026, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 and continuing to lead tariff, trade, and GDP initiatives under President Trump. Democratic calls for his resignation intensified after February 2026 Senate testimony on his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein, including a 2012 island visit, prompting House Oversight letters in May. Republican committee leadership has dismissed these demands, and no administration action or Senate pressure has emerged to remove him. Similar prediction markets reflect low near-term exit odds, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent is likely to complete the year absent a direct presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,918
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 50% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 50¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" ha generado $13.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 31, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" es 50% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 50% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.