President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
1 ago 2026
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
45%
Marco Rubio
45%
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
45%
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
45%
Rey Abdullah II
44%
Benjamin Netanyahu
44%
Mohammed bin Salman
44%
Shehbaz Sharif
43%
Masoud Pezeshkian
43%
Abbas Araghchi
43%
Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
43%
Steve Witkoff
43%
Jeque Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
43%
Donald Trump
43%
Ali Larijani
37%
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
37%
Mojtaba Khamenei
28%
Pete Hegseth
19%
JD Vance
57%
$77 Vol.
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
$0 Vol.
45%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
45%
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
$0 Vol.
45%
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
$0 Vol.
45%
Rey Abdullah II
$0 Vol.
44%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$17 Vol.
44%
Mohammed bin Salman
$0 Vol.
44%
Shehbaz Sharif
$0 Vol.
43%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$0 Vol.
43%
Abbas Araghchi
$0 Vol.
43%
Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
$0 Vol.
43%
Steve Witkoff
$0 Vol.
43%
Jeque Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$0 Vol.
43%
Donald Trump
$0 Vol.
43%
Ali Larijani
$15 Vol.
37%
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
$0 Vol.
37%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$0 Vol.
28%
Pete Hegseth
$12 Vol.
19%
JD Vance
$33 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volumen
$77Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$77Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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