Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Resolución del CSNU que respalde el acuerdo final entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del 31 de diciembre?
¿Resolución del CSNU que respalde el acuerdo final entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del 31 de diciembre?
Sí
35% probabilidad
$124,993 Vol.
$124,993 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
35% probabilidad
$124,993 Vol.
$124,993 Vol.
31 dic 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volumen
$124,993Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$124,993Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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