The April 2026 jobs report, which showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that topped consensus estimates, anchors current trader positioning for the May release scheduled June 5. With the leading 4.3 percent outcome at 37.5 percent implied probability and 4.4 percent close behind at 31.0 percent, markets reflect a narrow contest shaped by persistent labor-market cooling signals, including stable but elevated part-time-for-economic-reasons readings and subdued year-over-year employment trends. Recent participation declines and sector-specific gains in health care and transportation further support expectations that the rate could remain near recent levels rather than accelerate higher. Key swing factors include any revisions to prior months and incoming data on claims or wage growth ahead of the release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMay Unemployment Rate
May Unemployment Rate
4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.5% 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
≤3.9%
3%
4.0%
9%
4.1%
10%
4.2%
22%
4.3%
38%
4.4%
34%
4.5%
11%
4.6%
4%
≥4.7%
4%
4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.5% 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
≤3.9%
$46 Vol.
3%
4.0%
$73 Vol.
9%
4.1%
$45 Vol.
10%
4.2%
$38 Vol.
22%
4.3%
$107 Vol.
38%
4.4%
$54 Vol.
34%
4.5%
$50 Vol.
11%
4.6%
$45 Vol.
4%
≥4.7%
$52 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The April 2026 jobs report, which showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that topped consensus estimates, anchors current trader positioning for the May release scheduled June 5. With the leading 4.3 percent outcome at 37.5 percent implied probability and 4.4 percent close behind at 31.0 percent, markets reflect a narrow contest shaped by persistent labor-market cooling signals, including stable but elevated part-time-for-economic-reasons readings and subdued year-over-year employment trends. Recent participation declines and sector-specific gains in health care and transportation further support expectations that the rate could remain near recent levels rather than accelerate higher. Key swing factors include any revisions to prior months and incoming data on claims or wage growth ahead of the release.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
Volumen
$511Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The April 2026 jobs report, which showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that topped consensus estimates, anchors current trader positioning for the May release scheduled June 5. With the leading 4.3 percent outcome at 37.5 percent implied probability and 4.4 percent close behind at 31.0 percent, markets reflect a narrow contest shaped by persistent labor-market cooling signals, including stable but elevated part-time-for-economic-reasons readings and subdued year-over-year employment trends. Recent participation declines and sector-specific gains in health care and transportation further support expectations that the rate could remain near recent levels rather than accelerate higher. Key swing factors include any revisions to prior months and incoming data on claims or wage growth ahead of the release.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$511Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 jobs report, which showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that topped consensus estimates, anchors current trader positioning for the May release scheduled June 5. With the leading 4.3 percent outcome at 37.5 percent implied probability and 4.4 percent close behind at 31.0 percent, markets reflect a narrow contest shaped by persistent labor-market cooling signals, including stable but elevated part-time-for-economic-reasons readings and subdued year-over-year employment trends. Recent participation declines and sector-specific gains in health care and transportation further support expectations that the rate could remain near recent levels rather than accelerate higher. Key swing factors include any revisions to prior months and incoming data on claims or wage growth ahead of the release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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