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Política·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Política·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

Angelo Bonelli 11.1%

Polymarket

$14,540 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

Angelo Bonelli 11.1%

Polymarket

$14,540 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$3,482 Vol.

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 Vol.

17%

Giuseppe Conte

$984 Vol.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 Vol.

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 Vol.

2%

Guido Crosetto

$645 Vol.

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 Vol.

5%

Silvia Salis

$2,127 Vol.

18%

Roberto Vannacci

$2,133 Vol.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$417 Vol.

3%

Angelo Bonelli

$748 Vol.

11%

Carlo Calenda

$602 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus places incumbent Giorgia Meloni at 42.5% for the next prime minister role, reflecting her center-right coalition's record as the second-longest-serving government since the republic's founding and Fratelli d'Italia's steady 28-29% polling lead. A March 2026 referendum defeat on justice reforms, backed by Meloni and rejected 54-46%, exposed coalition strains and mobilized opposition without triggering early elections due by December 2027. Genoa mayor Silvia Salis has risen to 17.8% as a fresh center-left challenger after her 2025 victory, while Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein holds 17% amid party primaries. Proportional representation and coalition dynamics under energy and migration pressures keep alternatives viable, though incumbency and institutional continuity anchor Meloni's position.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,540
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2028
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus places incumbent Giorgia Meloni at 42.5% for the next prime minister role, reflecting her center-right coalition's record as the second-longest-serving government since the republic's founding and Fratelli d'Italia's steady 28-29% polling lead. A March 2026 referendum defeat on justice reforms, backed by Meloni and rejected 54-46%, exposed coalition strains and mobilized opposition without triggering early elections due by December 2027. Genoa mayor Silvia Salis has risen to 17.8% as a fresh center-left challenger after her 2025 victory, while Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein holds 17% amid party primaries. Proportional representation and coalition dynamics under energy and migration pressures keep alternatives viable, though incumbency and institutional continuity anchor Meloni's position.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,540
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2028
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Giorgia Meloni" con 43%, seguido de "Silvia Salis" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ha generado $14.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Prime Minister of Italy?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" es "Giorgia Meloni" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Silvia Salis" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.