Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti Libéral du Québec, and Parti Conservateur du Québec cluster closely behind in a fragmented field. Regional variations sustain the tightness: Liberals dominate Montreal, Conservatives gain ground in Quebec City and surrounding areas, and the CAQ remains competitive in suburban ridings. With no party consolidating the federalist or nationalist vote decisively, trader consensus prices reflect ongoing volatility in seat and vote-share projections. Campaign events, turnout among francophone and allophone voters, and any late shifts in three-way contests could quickly reorder the standings behind the PQ.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCAQ 27%
PLQ 27%
PCQ 21%
QS 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
CAQ
27%
PLQ
27%
PCQ
21%
QS
19%
PQ
29%
PVQ
1%
CAQ 27%
PLQ 27%
PCQ 21%
QS 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
CAQ
$0 Vol.
27%
PLQ
$0 Vol.
27%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
21%
QS
$61 Vol.
19%
PQ
$40 Vol.
29%
PVQ
$167 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti Libéral du Québec, and Parti Conservateur du Québec cluster closely behind in a fragmented field. Regional variations sustain the tightness: Liberals dominate Montreal, Conservatives gain ground in Quebec City and surrounding areas, and the CAQ remains competitive in suburban ridings. With no party consolidating the federalist or nationalist vote decisively, trader consensus prices reflect ongoing volatility in seat and vote-share projections. Campaign events, turnout among francophone and allophone voters, and any late shifts in three-way contests could quickly reorder the standings behind the PQ.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$268Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti Libéral du Québec, and Parti Conservateur du Québec cluster closely behind in a fragmented field. Regional variations sustain the tightness: Liberals dominate Montreal, Conservatives gain ground in Quebec City and surrounding areas, and the CAQ remains competitive in suburban ridings. With no party consolidating the federalist or nationalist vote decisively, trader consensus prices reflect ongoing volatility in seat and vote-share projections. Campaign events, turnout among francophone and allophone voters, and any late shifts in three-way contests could quickly reorder the standings behind the PQ.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$268Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti Libéral du Québec, and Parti Conservateur du Québec cluster closely behind in a fragmented field. Regional variations sustain the tightness: Liberals dominate Montreal, Conservatives gain ground in Quebec City and surrounding areas, and the CAQ remains competitive in suburban ridings. With no party consolidating the federalist or nationalist vote decisively, trader consensus prices reflect ongoing volatility in seat and vote-share projections. Campaign events, turnout among francophone and allophone voters, and any late shifts in three-way contests could quickly reorder the standings behind the PQ.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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