Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in Texas livestock, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and subsequent findings in additional counties, have driven USDA-APHIS containment efforts including sterile fly releases and surveillance. Texas Governor Abbott issued a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while the CDC activated its Level 3 emergency response on June 11 to support monitoring. No federal national emergency declaration has occurred, and no locally acquired human cases have been reported in the U.S. despite over 185,000 animal cases across Mexico and Central America since 2023. Trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections, economic risks to the cattle industry, or updated epidemiological data from USDA and CDC will prompt higher-level federal action. Key upcoming factors include new case reports, model consensus on northward spread, and any shifts in agency response levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NUEVO
1 ene 2027
30 de junio
-
August 30
53%
31 de octubre
50%
December 31
53%
$167 Vol.
30 de junio
$167 Vol.
-
August 30
$0 Vol.
53%
31 de octubre
$0 Vol.
50%
December 31
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in Texas livestock, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and subsequent findings in additional counties, have driven USDA-APHIS containment efforts including sterile fly releases and surveillance. Texas Governor Abbott issued a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while the CDC activated its Level 3 emergency response on June 11 to support monitoring. No federal national emergency declaration has occurred, and no locally acquired human cases have been reported in the U.S. despite over 185,000 animal cases across Mexico and Central America since 2023. Trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections, economic risks to the cattle industry, or updated epidemiological data from USDA and CDC will prompt higher-level federal action. Key upcoming factors include new case reports, model consensus on northward spread, and any shifts in agency response levels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volumen
$167Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in Texas livestock, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and subsequent findings in additional counties, have driven USDA-APHIS containment efforts including sterile fly releases and surveillance. Texas Governor Abbott issued a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while the CDC activated its Level 3 emergency response on June 11 to support monitoring. No federal national emergency declaration has occurred, and no locally acquired human cases have been reported in the U.S. despite over 185,000 animal cases across Mexico and Central America since 2023. Trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections, economic risks to the cattle industry, or updated epidemiological data from USDA and CDC will prompt higher-level federal action. Key upcoming factors include new case reports, model consensus on northward spread, and any shifts in agency response levels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$167Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in Texas livestock, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and subsequent findings in additional counties, have driven USDA-APHIS containment efforts including sterile fly releases and surveillance. Texas Governor Abbott issued a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while the CDC activated its Level 3 emergency response on June 11 to support monitoring. No federal national emergency declaration has occurred, and no locally acquired human cases have been reported in the U.S. despite over 185,000 animal cases across Mexico and Central America since 2023. Trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections, economic risks to the cattle industry, or updated epidemiological data from USDA and CDC will prompt higher-level federal action. Key upcoming factors include new case reports, model consensus on northward spread, and any shifts in agency response levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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