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icon for OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?

OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?

icon for OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?

OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?

11% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

11% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed in early June 2026 that it will not waive its standard eligibility rules to fast-track mega-cap IPOs such as SpaceX into the S&P 500. SpaceX filed its S-1 prospectus in May and targets a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, yet index criteria require at least one year of public trading plus sustained positive earnings across recent quarters and adequate public float. SpaceX has reported ongoing losses, further delaying any potential inclusion until well into 2027 at the earliest. Trader consensus at 89.5% against 2026 addition reflects these fixed procedural timelines and the absence of rule changes, with the next key milestone being post-IPO quarterly financial reporting and index committee reviews.

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Volumen
$1,025
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed in early June 2026 that it will not waive its standard eligibility rules to fast-track mega-cap IPOs such as SpaceX into the S&P 500. SpaceX filed its S-1 prospectus in May and targets a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, yet index criteria require at least one year of public trading plus sustained positive earnings across recent quarters and adequate public float. SpaceX has reported ongoing losses, further delaying any potential inclusion until well into 2027 at the earliest. Trader consensus at 89.5% against 2026 addition reflects these fixed procedural timelines and the absence of rule changes, with the next key milestone being post-IPO quarterly financial reporting and index committee reviews.

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Volumen
$1,025
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿OPV de SpaceX: oficialmente añadida al S&P 500 en 2026?" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?" es "¿OPV de SpaceX: oficialmente añadida al S&P 500 en 2026?" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "OPI de SpaceX: ¿Añadida oficialmente al S&P 500 en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.