Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
<1.228m 40%
1.228 - 1.238m 35%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<1.228m
24%
1.228 - 1.238m
25%
1.238 - 1.249m
24%
1.249 - 1.259m
17%
1.259 - 1.27m
14%
1.27 - 1.28m
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
10%
>1.301m
10%
<1.228m 40%
1.228 - 1.238m 35%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<1.228m
$167 Vol.
24%
1.228 - 1.238m
$62 Vol.
25%
1.238 - 1.249m
$436 Vol.
24%
1.249 - 1.259m
$1,325 Vol.
17%
1.259 - 1.27m
$0 Vol.
14%
1.27 - 1.28m
$0 Vol.
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
$0 Vol.
10%
>1.301m
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$1,990Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volumen
$1,990Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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