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Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

icon for Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$698,283 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$698,283 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$87,626 Vol.

13%

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Dan Clancy - Twitch

$43,891 Vol.

9%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$82,918 Vol.

8%

icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$38,424 Vol.

5%

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Andy Jassy - Amazon

$28,438 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Elevated CEO turnover across tech, reaching record levels in 2025 and continuing into 2026, reflects intensifying board and investor pressure for faster results amid AI transitions and competitive shifts. Recent announcements include Tim Cook’s planned departure from Apple by September 2026, with John Ternus succeeding him, aligning with market-implied certainty near 100%. Broader dynamics show shorter tenures—averaging under 8 years—and spikes in tech sector exits tied to performance gaps and adaptation challenges. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings calls, regulatory scrutiny on AI, and potential leadership changes at firms like OpenAI, where implied odds for Sam Altman remain low around 13%, as new catalysts could quickly shift consensus before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volumen
$698,283
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Elevated CEO turnover across tech, reaching record levels in 2025 and continuing into 2026, reflects intensifying board and investor pressure for faster results amid AI transitions and competitive shifts. Recent announcements include Tim Cook’s planned departure from Apple by September 2026, with John Ternus succeeding him, aligning with market-implied certainty near 100%. Broader dynamics show shorter tenures—averaging under 8 years—and spikes in tech sector exits tied to performance gaps and adaptation challenges. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings calls, regulatory scrutiny on AI, and potential leadership changes at firms like OpenAI, where implied odds for Sam Altman remain low around 13%, as new catalysts could quickly shift consensus before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volumen
$698,283
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tim Cook - Apple" con 100%, seguido de "Sam Altman - OpenAI" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" ha generado $698.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" es "Tim Cook - Apple" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sam Altman - OpenAI" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.