Anthropic’s commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, which posted top-tier results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified above 92 percent and strong Intelligence Index scores following their April releases. These models combine a 1-million-token context window with reliable computer-use capabilities that developers and enterprises have quickly adopted. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains a close second, topping several general-reasoning metrics including ARC-AGI-2 at 77 percent and GPQA Diamond, yet trails in practical coding workflows. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, launched in late April, delivered incremental gains in math and reduced hallucinations but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the categories traders weigh most heavily. With resolution set for end of June, any new model drops or benchmark updates in the coming weeks could still shift the narrow gap between the leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 71.5%
Título del ítem del grupo 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.4%
$6,014,211 Vol.
$6,014,211 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
72%
Título del ítem del grupo
22%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 71.5%
Título del ítem del grupo 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.4%
$6,014,211 Vol.
$6,014,211 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
$846,184 Vol.
72%
Título del ítem del grupo
$549,783 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$343,785 Vol.
6%
xAI
$1,067,781 Vol.
1%
Meta
$137,036 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$504,533 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$163,569 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$303,608 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$483,642 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$156,722 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$160,190 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$383,423 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$364,400 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$383,501 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$166,077 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, which posted top-tier results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified above 92 percent and strong Intelligence Index scores following their April releases. These models combine a 1-million-token context window with reliable computer-use capabilities that developers and enterprises have quickly adopted. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains a close second, topping several general-reasoning metrics including ARC-AGI-2 at 77 percent and GPQA Diamond, yet trails in practical coding workflows. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, launched in late April, delivered incremental gains in math and reduced hallucinations but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the categories traders weigh most heavily. With resolution set for end of June, any new model drops or benchmark updates in the coming weeks could still shift the narrow gap between the leaders.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volumen
$6,014,211Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, which posted top-tier results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified above 92 percent and strong Intelligence Index scores following their April releases. These models combine a 1-million-token context window with reliable computer-use capabilities that developers and enterprises have quickly adopted. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains a close second, topping several general-reasoning metrics including ARC-AGI-2 at 77 percent and GPQA Diamond, yet trails in practical coding workflows. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, launched in late April, delivered incremental gains in math and reduced hallucinations but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the categories traders weigh most heavily. With resolution set for end of June, any new model drops or benchmark updates in the coming weeks could still shift the narrow gap between the leaders.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$6,014,211Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, which posted top-tier results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified above 92 percent and strong Intelligence Index scores following their April releases. These models combine a 1-million-token context window with reliable computer-use capabilities that developers and enterprises have quickly adopted. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains a close second, topping several general-reasoning metrics including ARC-AGI-2 at 77 percent and GPQA Diamond, yet trails in practical coding workflows. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, launched in late April, delivered incremental gains in math and reduced hallucinations but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the categories traders weigh most heavily. With resolution set for end of June, any new model drops or benchmark updates in the coming weeks could still shift the narrow gap between the leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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