Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its standout capabilities in native synchronized dialogue at 48kHz, strong physics simulation, prompt adherence, and cinematic realism that competitors struggle to match in single-pass generation. Recent 2026 iterations and benchmarks have reinforced its edge for production-grade text-to-video output over alternatives like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference control and length but trails in audio integration. Kling, Runway Gen-4.5, and OpenAI Sora 2 remain competitive in specific areas such as cost or motion, yet Google's consistent top rankings in independent comparisons drive the market's clear favorite heading into September resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 71%
ByteDance 12%
Runway 11%
Luma AI 6.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
71%
ByteDance
12%
Runway
11%
Luma AI
6%
Pruna
3%
Tencent
3%
KlingAI
3%
MiniMax
3%
Genmo AI
3%
Pika
3%
Meta
2%
SpaceXAI
11%
Lightricks
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
1%
Pixverse
1%
OpenAI
1%
Kandinsky
1%
Google 71%
ByteDance 12%
Runway 11%
Luma AI 6.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
$4,623 Vol.
71%
ByteDance
$178 Vol.
12%
Runway
$161 Vol.
11%
Luma AI
$111 Vol.
6%
Pruna
$163 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$116 Vol.
3%
KlingAI
$194 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$174 Vol.
3%
Genmo AI
$131 Vol.
3%
Pika
$227 Vol.
3%
Meta
$51 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$222 Vol.
11%
Lightricks
$188 Vol.
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$111 Vol.
1%
Pixverse
$116 Vol.
1%
OpenAI
$116 Vol.
1%
Kandinsky
$116 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its standout capabilities in native synchronized dialogue at 48kHz, strong physics simulation, prompt adherence, and cinematic realism that competitors struggle to match in single-pass generation. Recent 2026 iterations and benchmarks have reinforced its edge for production-grade text-to-video output over alternatives like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference control and length but trails in audio integration. Kling, Runway Gen-4.5, and OpenAI Sora 2 remain competitive in specific areas such as cost or motion, yet Google's consistent top rankings in independent comparisons drive the market's clear favorite heading into September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volumen
$6,996Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its standout capabilities in native synchronized dialogue at 48kHz, strong physics simulation, prompt adherence, and cinematic realism that competitors struggle to match in single-pass generation. Recent 2026 iterations and benchmarks have reinforced its edge for production-grade text-to-video output over alternatives like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference control and length but trails in audio integration. Kling, Runway Gen-4.5, and OpenAI Sora 2 remain competitive in specific areas such as cost or motion, yet Google's consistent top rankings in independent comparisons drive the market's clear favorite heading into September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$6,996Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its standout capabilities in native synchronized dialogue at 48kHz, strong physics simulation, prompt adherence, and cinematic realism that competitors struggle to match in single-pass generation. Recent 2026 iterations and benchmarks have reinforced its edge for production-grade text-to-video output over alternatives like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference control and length but trails in audio integration. Kling, Runway Gen-4.5, and OpenAI Sora 2 remain competitive in specific areas such as cost or motion, yet Google's consistent top rankings in independent comparisons drive the market's clear favorite heading into September resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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