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icon for ¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

icon for ¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

$125,674 Vol.

24 mar 2026
Polymarket

$125,674 Vol.

Polymarket

Socialdemócratas

$4,282 Vol.

84%

Moderates

$4,811 Vol.

91%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$2,438 Vol.

79%

Venstre

$17,108 Vol.

71%

Izquierda Verde

$41,367 Vol.

37%

Alianza Liberal

$10,126 Vol.

11%

Partido Popular Danés

$5,056 Vol.

6%

Naleraq

$1,516 Vol.

8%

Partido de la Unión

$7,261 Vol.

4%

Red–Green Alliance

$2,502 Vol.

22%

La Alternativa

$4,201 Vol.

2%

Demócratas de Dinamarca

$5,796 Vol.

2%

Citizens’ Party

$3,352 Vol.

1%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,878 Vol.

1%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Partido Popular Conservador

$553 Vol.

37%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volumen
$125,674
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volumen
$125,674
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Moderates" con 91%, seguido de "Socialdemócratas" con 84%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" ha generado $125.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" es "Moderates" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Socialdemócratas" con 84%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.