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F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,036,944 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,036,944 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,046,171 Vol.

38%

George Russell

$1,762,546 Vol.

31%

Lando Norris

$2,160,510 Vol.

12%

Max Verstappen

$2,010,607 Vol.

6%

Oscar Piastri

$1,797,168 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$2,865,658 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,812,785 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$7,053,820 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$7,586,794 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$6,548,594 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10,010,002 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$9,024,199 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10,226,639 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$9,806,318 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10,311,366 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,828,681 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,228,250 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,731,782 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,688,337 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$6,850,353 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$9,734,720 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$9,951,915 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli's early-season surge has shaped trader consensus in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, with the Mercedes driver converting three consecutive poles into victories to build a 20-point lead over teammate George Russell after the opening races. This form has elevated Antonelli's implied probability while keeping Russell competitive through consistent results and Mercedes' strong overall package. Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc sit further back in the standings, with Norris delivering podiums but lacking the Mercedes duo's pace, and Verstappen's Red Bull challenges remaining limited so far. The tight battle between Antonelli and Russell reflects their intra-team rivalry, recent momentum shifts, and the unpredictable nature of the new regulations, where small margins in qualifying and race execution can quickly alter championship trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,036,944
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli's early-season surge has shaped trader consensus in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, with the Mercedes driver converting three consecutive poles into victories to build a 20-point lead over teammate George Russell after the opening races. This form has elevated Antonelli's implied probability while keeping Russell competitive through consistent results and Mercedes' strong overall package. Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc sit further back in the standings, with Norris delivering podiums but lacking the Mercedes duo's pace, and Verstappen's Red Bull challenges remaining limited so far. The tight battle between Antonelli and Russell reflects their intra-team rivalry, recent momentum shifts, and the unpredictable nature of the new regulations, where small margins in qualifying and race execution can quickly alter championship trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,036,944
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, followed by "George Russell" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $150 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.