Mercedes holds a commanding 74.5% implied probability as Constructors' Championship leader with 180 points after six Grands Prix, fueled by Kimi Antonelli's driver lead at 100 points and George Russell's strong support amid the 2026 regulation overhaul favoring their superior power unit and chassis efficiency. Ferrari trails at 110 points (5.5% odds) and McLaren at 94 (16.4%), with the latter's Miami GP upgrades narrowing Mercedes' race-pace edge from 0.5s to just 0.016s over McLaren. Red Bull lags far at 30 points (1.5%), hampered by reliability woes, while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac remain longshots at 0.5% amid 18 races left for rival development surges, pit strategy edges, and potential DNFs to shift standings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 75%
McLaren 16.4%
Ferrari 6%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$17,971,684 Vol.
$17,971,684 Vol.

Mercedes
75%

McLaren
16%

Ferrari
6%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 75%
McLaren 16.4%
Ferrari 6%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$17,971,684 Vol.
$17,971,684 Vol.

Mercedes
75%

McLaren
16%

Ferrari
6%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 74.5% implied probability as Constructors' Championship leader with 180 points after six Grands Prix, fueled by Kimi Antonelli's driver lead at 100 points and George Russell's strong support amid the 2026 regulation overhaul favoring their superior power unit and chassis efficiency. Ferrari trails at 110 points (5.5% odds) and McLaren at 94 (16.4%), with the latter's Miami GP upgrades narrowing Mercedes' race-pace edge from 0.5s to just 0.016s over McLaren. Red Bull lags far at 30 points (1.5%), hampered by reliability woes, while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac remain longshots at 0.5% amid 18 races left for rival development surges, pit strategy edges, and potential DNFs to shift standings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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