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F1 Constructors' Champion

icon for F1 Constructors' Champion

F1 Constructors' Champion

Mercedes 84%

Ferrari 12.5%

McLaren 1.6%

Red Bull Racing <1%

Polymarket

$28,288,485 Vol.

Mercedes 84%

Ferrari 12.5%

McLaren 1.6%

Red Bull Racing <1%

Polymarket

$28,288,485 Vol.

icon for Mercedes

Mercedes

$1,040,395 Vol.

84%

icon for Ferrari

Ferrari

$735,757 Vol.

13%

icon for McLaren

McLaren

$1,750,243 Vol.

2%

icon for Red Bull Racing

Red Bull Racing

$856,204 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aston Martin

Aston Martin

$3,234,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Williams

Williams

$3,808,174 Vol.

<1%

icon for Audi

Audi

$3,245,193 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cadillac

Cadillac

$3,708,658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Racing Bulls

Racing Bulls

$3,242,273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haas

Haas

$3,317,067 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alpine

Alpine

$3,349,930 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds an overwhelming position in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship through superior power unit optimization and overall car pace under the new regulations, reflected in their substantial points lead after multiple victories. Their drivers, including championship leader Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, have consistently delivered strong results, widening the gap over Ferrari, the nearest challenger. Ferrari trails but maintains realistic contention through steady performances and recent form gains. McLaren and Red Bull lag significantly further back, with minimal realistic paths to close the deficit before season's end. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' established advantage while acknowledging that late-season shifts, reliability issues, or rival development surges remain possible in the remaining races.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$28,288,485
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds an overwhelming position in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship through superior power unit optimization and overall car pace under the new regulations, reflected in their substantial points lead after multiple victories. Their drivers, including championship leader Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, have consistently delivered strong results, widening the gap over Ferrari, the nearest challenger. Ferrari trails but maintains realistic contention through steady performances and recent form gains. McLaren and Red Bull lag significantly further back, with minimal realistic paths to close the deficit before season's end. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' established advantage while acknowledging that late-season shifts, reliability issues, or rival development surges remain possible in the remaining races.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$28,288,485
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Constructors' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mercedes" at 84%, followed by "Ferrari" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Constructors' Champion" has generated $28.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Constructors' Champion," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Constructors' Champion" is "Mercedes" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ferrari" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Constructors' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.