Scottie Scheffler's commanding lead at the FedEx St. Jude Championship stems from elite ball-striking and putting that produced a course-record-tying 61 in the second round at TPC Southwind, followed by steady rounds that stretched his advantage to eight shots by the final 66. As the world No. 1 entering the event with recent strong finishes, including a T2 at the 3M Open, his consistency in approach play and ability to pull away on a demanding layout aligned with trader expectations for a runaway outcome. Late-round surges by challengers such as Si Woo Kim or Sam Burns could have narrowed gaps, yet Scheffler's form and margin made significant shifts improbable absent major weather disruptions or unforeseen physical setbacks during the final 36 holes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 100.0%
Bud Cauley 19.9%
Alex Fitzpatrick 19.9%
Michael Thorbjornsen 19.9%
$352,420 Vol.
$352,420 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
No
Ricky Castillo
No
Bud Cauley
No
Pierceson Coody
No
Steven Fisk
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Brian Harman
No
Russell Henley
No
Ryo Hisatsune
No
Max Homa
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Rory McIlroy
No
Keith Mitchell
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Scottie Scheffler
Yes
Matthias Schmid
No
Adam Scott
No
Alex Smalley
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Jordan Spieth
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Patrick Cantlay
No
Shane Lowry
No
Ben Griffin
No
Harry Hall
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Aldrich Potgieter
No
Michael Thorbjornsen
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Sam Burns
No
Eric Cole
No
Corey Conners
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Chris Gotterup
No
Nicolai Hojgaard
No
Sung-Jae Im
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Tom Kim
No
Jake Knapp
No
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Sepp Straka
No
Sahith Theegala
No
Justin Thomas
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Ryan Fox
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Michael Kim
No
Jackson Koivun
No
Justin Rose
No
Jordan L. Smith
No
Sam Stevens
No
Nick Taylor
No
Gary Woodland
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Nicolas Echavarria
No
Harris English
No
Robert MacIntyre
No
Matt McCarty
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Alexander Noren
No
JT Poston
No
Aaron Rai
No
Patrick Rodgers
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
No
Cameron Young
No
Scottie Scheffler 100.0%
Bud Cauley 19.9%
Alex Fitzpatrick 19.9%
Michael Thorbjornsen 19.9%
$352,420 Vol.
$352,420 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
No
Ricky Castillo
No
Bud Cauley
No
Pierceson Coody
No
Steven Fisk
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Brian Harman
No
Russell Henley
No
Ryo Hisatsune
No
Max Homa
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Rory McIlroy
No
Keith Mitchell
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Scottie Scheffler
Yes
Matthias Schmid
No
Adam Scott
No
Alex Smalley
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Jordan Spieth
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Patrick Cantlay
No
Shane Lowry
No
Ben Griffin
No
Harry Hall
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Aldrich Potgieter
No
Michael Thorbjornsen
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Sam Burns
No
Eric Cole
No
Corey Conners
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Chris Gotterup
No
Nicolai Hojgaard
No
Sung-Jae Im
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Tom Kim
No
Jake Knapp
No
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Sepp Straka
No
Sahith Theegala
No
Justin Thomas
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Ryan Fox
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Michael Kim
No
Jackson Koivun
No
Justin Rose
No
Jordan L. Smith
No
Sam Stevens
No
Nick Taylor
No
Gary Woodland
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Nicolas Echavarria
No
Harris English
No
Robert MacIntyre
No
Matt McCarty
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Alexander Noren
No
JT Poston
No
Aaron Rai
No
Patrick Rodgers
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
No
Cameron Young
No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 22, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 22, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Scottie Scheffler's commanding lead at the FedEx St. Jude Championship stems from elite ball-striking and putting that produced a course-record-tying 61 in the second round at TPC Southwind, followed by steady rounds that stretched his advantage to eight shots by the final 66. As the world No. 1 entering the event with recent strong finishes, including a T2 at the 3M Open, his consistency in approach play and ability to pull away on a demanding layout aligned with trader expectations for a runaway outcome. Late-round surges by challengers such as Si Woo Kim or Sam Burns could have narrowed gaps, yet Scheffler's form and margin made significant shifts improbable absent major weather disruptions or unforeseen physical setbacks during the final 36 holes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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