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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 32%

Novak Djokovic 4.3%

Alexander Zverev 3.0%

Polymarket

$1,439,703 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 32%

Novak Djokovic 4.3%

Alexander Zverev 3.0%

Polymarket

$1,439,703 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$7,958 Vol.

46%

Carlos Alcaraz

$9,697 Vol.

32%

Novak Djokovic

$125,330 Vol.

4%

Alexander Zverev

$14,821 Vol.

3%

Frances Tiafoe

$6,004 Vol.

2%

Daniil Medvedev

$11,349 Vol.

2%

Taylor Fritz

$14,739 Vol.

2%

Arthur Fils

$53,805 Vol.

2%

Ben Shelton

$42,176 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$150,333 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$274,328 Vol.

1%

Jack Draper

$40,042 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$5,247 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$341,763 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$91,097 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$73,185 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$22,528 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$4,372 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$4,525 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$3,412 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$139,872 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$3,119 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner's world No. 1 ranking and blistering 2026 form, including a Madrid Masters 1000 title over Alexander Zverev and quarterfinal run at Rome, position him as trader consensus favorite at 46% implied probability for the 2026 US Open, reflecting his hard-court prowess and 33-2 record. Carlos Alcaraz trails at 31.5% amid a competitive duel, buoyed by his Australian Open win earlier this year despite a recent right wrist injury from Barcelona that sidelined him from Madrid and raises doubts for Roland Garros. Novak Djokovic's 4.7% share underscores age-related decline and early Rome exit, while Americans like Frances Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz gain slight home-crowd edges on the hard courts of Flushing Meadows. Recent clay swing momentum favors Sinner's consistency heading into summer grass and hard-court prep.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,439,703
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner's world No. 1 ranking and blistering 2026 form, including a Madrid Masters 1000 title over Alexander Zverev and quarterfinal run at Rome, position him as trader consensus favorite at 46% implied probability for the 2026 US Open, reflecting his hard-court prowess and 33-2 record. Carlos Alcaraz trails at 31.5% amid a competitive duel, buoyed by his Australian Open win earlier this year despite a recent right wrist injury from Barcelona that sidelined him from Madrid and raises doubts for Roland Garros. Novak Djokovic's 4.7% share underscores age-related decline and early Rome exit, while Americans like Frances Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz gain slight home-crowd edges on the hard courts of Flushing Meadows. Recent clay swing momentum favors Sinner's consistency heading into summer grass and hard-court prep.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,439,703
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.