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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Elena Rybakina 20.7%

Iga Swiatek 17%

Victoria Mboko 9.3%

Polymarket

$979,397 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Elena Rybakina 20.7%

Iga Swiatek 17%

Victoria Mboko 9.3%

Polymarket

$979,397 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$3,597 Vol.

26%

Elena Rybakina

$59,621 Vol.

25%

Iga Swiatek

$1,565 Vol.

17%

Victoria Mboko

$1,088 Vol.

9%

Coco Gauff

$7,125 Vol.

8%

Qinwen Zheng

$1,130 Vol.

8%

Amanda Anisimova

$48,661 Vol.

5%

Mirra Andreeva

$15,557 Vol.

4%

Karolina Muchova

$1,270 Vol.

3%

Elina Svitolina

$969 Vol.

2%

Jessica Pegula

$78,491 Vol.

2%

Clara Tauson

$777 Vol.

2%

Tereza Valentova

$214,476 Vol.

1%

Madison Keys

$853 Vol.

1%

Linda Noskova

$1,581 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$764 Vol.

1%

Naomi Osaka

$891 Vol.

1%

Anastasia Potapova

$1,070 Vol.

1%

Emma Raducanu

$39,693 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Eala

$242,436 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$13,785 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$6,077 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$11,658 Vol.

1%

Sofia Kenin

$684 Vol.

<1%

Jasmine Paolini

$656 Vol.

<1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$6,471 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$1,616 Vol.

<1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$831 Vol.

<1%

Diana Shnaider

$21,417 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$1,342 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$17,050 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$21,253 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$24,167 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$18,394 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$17,191 Vol.

<1%

Elise Mertens

$17,328 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$587 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$775 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$28,836 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$47,666 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus pins Aryna Sabalenka at 26% and Elena Rybakina at 25% to win the 2026 US Open, a razor-thin split underscoring their hard-court mastery—Sabalenka's 2024 title defense pedigree, Sunshine Double via recent Miami triumph, and 26-2 record, paired with Rybakina's Australian Open crown, Stuttgart clay conquest, and 27-6 mark—against a surging top 10. Iga Swiatek trails at 17% after a rocky clay swing, including a Madrid retirement due to illness, though her Rome semifinal rout of Jessica Pegula signals rebound potential on non-favorite surfaces. Rising star Victoria Mboko's vault to No. 9 injects upset volatility, keeping the field competitive with Coco Gauff's home-crowd edge and months until Flushing Meadows qualifying paths, draw luck, and injury risks.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$979,397
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus pins Aryna Sabalenka at 26% and Elena Rybakina at 25% to win the 2026 US Open, a razor-thin split underscoring their hard-court mastery—Sabalenka's 2024 title defense pedigree, Sunshine Double via recent Miami triumph, and 26-2 record, paired with Rybakina's Australian Open crown, Stuttgart clay conquest, and 27-6 mark—against a surging top 10. Iga Swiatek trails at 17% after a rocky clay swing, including a Madrid retirement due to illness, though her Rome semifinal rout of Jessica Pegula signals rebound potential on non-favorite surfaces. Rising star Victoria Mboko's vault to No. 9 injects upset volatility, keeping the field competitive with Coco Gauff's home-crowd edge and months until Flushing Meadows qualifying paths, draw luck, and injury risks.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$979,397
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $979.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.