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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 51%

Carlos Alcaraz 13%

Alexander Zverev 12.0%

Novak Djokovic 6.2%

Polymarket

$6,550,314 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 51%

Carlos Alcaraz 13%

Alexander Zverev 12.0%

Novak Djokovic 6.2%

Polymarket

$6,550,314 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$239,182 Vol.

51%

Carlos Alcaraz

$328,416 Vol.

13%

Alexander Zverev

$196,416 Vol.

12%

Novak Djokovic

$366,036 Vol.

6%

Ben Shelton

$237,289 Vol.

6%

Taylor Fritz

$223,503 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$210,965 Vol.

2%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$630,604 Vol.

2%

Arthur Fils

$227,141 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$255,586 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$252,123 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$254,139 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$326,768 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$190,913 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$142,718 Vol.

1%

Frances Tiafoe

$175,298 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$436,189 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$413,935 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$256,962 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$272,151 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$759,204 Vol.

<1%

Holger Rune

$154,775 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the top position in the 2026 Men’s US Open winner market at roughly 50% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 hard-court form, including a 44-3 overall record, multiple titles, and consistent top-10 results that reflect his baseline power and mental edge on the surface. Carlos Alcaraz sits second despite a wrist injury that sidelined him since April, limiting recent match play as the defending champion targets a full return. Alexander Zverev follows closely after his French Open success and strong ranking, while Novak Djokovic and emerging players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz occupy lower probabilities shaped by age, recent results, and head-to-head history on outdoor hard courts. The market reflects trader assessment of current rankings, injury timelines, and schedule positioning ahead of the late-August event.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,550,314
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the top position in the 2026 Men’s US Open winner market at roughly 50% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 hard-court form, including a 44-3 overall record, multiple titles, and consistent top-10 results that reflect his baseline power and mental edge on the surface. Carlos Alcaraz sits second despite a wrist injury that sidelined him since April, limiting recent match play as the defending champion targets a full return. Alexander Zverev follows closely after his French Open success and strong ranking, while Novak Djokovic and emerging players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz occupy lower probabilities shaped by age, recent results, and head-to-head history on outdoor hard courts. The market reflects trader assessment of current rankings, injury timelines, and schedule positioning ahead of the late-August event.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,550,314
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 51%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.