Skip to main content
icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 33%

Novak Djokovic 4.2%

Alexander Zverev 3.2%

Polymarket

$1,444,616 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 33%

Novak Djokovic 4.2%

Alexander Zverev 3.2%

Polymarket

$1,444,616 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$8,050 Vol.

46%

Carlos Alcaraz

$10,086 Vol.

33%

Novak Djokovic

$125,410 Vol.

4%

Alexander Zverev

$14,901 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$11,430 Vol.

2%

Taylor Fritz

$14,871 Vol.

2%

Arthur Fils

$54,438 Vol.

2%

Ben Shelton

$42,256 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$274,410 Vol.

1%

Jack Draper

$40,122 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$341,875 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$91,314 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$22,610 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$73,329 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$150,413 Vol.

1%

Frances Tiafoe

$6,084 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$4,452 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$5,851 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$3,493 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$6,067 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$139,952 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$3,200 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the strongest implied probability in the 2026 US Open market due to his record-setting 2026 campaign, including five consecutive ATP Masters 1000 titles and an overall 35-2 win-loss mark that has extended his hard-court dominance. Carlos Alcaraz sits second after completing the career Grand Slam with his Australian Open victory and adding a Doha title, though a lingering right wrist issue forced him to withdraw from the French Open and several clay events. Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev trail further back amid inconsistent results and age-related considerations for the Serbian, while emerging players such as Arthur Fils and Ben Shelton occupy lower probabilities based on recent form and limited major experience on hard courts. Trader consensus reflects Sinner’s current momentum and historical hard-court edge heading into the summer schedule.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,444,616
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the strongest implied probability in the 2026 US Open market due to his record-setting 2026 campaign, including five consecutive ATP Masters 1000 titles and an overall 35-2 win-loss mark that has extended his hard-court dominance. Carlos Alcaraz sits second after completing the career Grand Slam with his Australian Open victory and adding a Doha title, though a lingering right wrist issue forced him to withdraw from the French Open and several clay events. Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev trail further back amid inconsistent results and age-related considerations for the Serbian, while emerging players such as Arthur Fils and Ben Shelton occupy lower probabilities based on recent form and limited major experience on hard courts. Trader consensus reflects Sinner’s current momentum and historical hard-court edge heading into the summer schedule.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,444,616
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

32%
icon for Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?

Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?

<1%
icon for Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

54%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.