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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 33%

Carlos Alcaraz 18%

Alexander Zverev 14.2%

Novak Djokovic 6.3%

Polymarket

$7,870,757 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 33%

Carlos Alcaraz 18%

Alexander Zverev 14.2%

Novak Djokovic 6.3%

Polymarket

$7,870,757 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$334,794 Vol.

33%

Carlos Alcaraz

$445,224 Vol.

18%

Alexander Zverev

$260,625 Vol.

14%

Novak Djokovic

$507,808 Vol.

6%

Ben Shelton

$277,389 Vol.

5%

Taylor Fritz

$262,573 Vol.

5%

Daniil Medvedev

$296,573 Vol.

3%

Arthur Fils

$280,117 Vol.

2%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$691,834 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$323,086 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$306,331 Vol.

2%

Frances Tiafoe

$238,227 Vol.

2%

Flavio Cobolli

$188,050 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$377,963 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$236,246 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$471,425 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$294,504 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$449,985 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$315,437 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$838,790 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$296,934 Vol.

<1%

Holger Rune

$176,842 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner tops the 2026 Men’s US Open winner market due to his unmatched consistency and hard-court dominance in 2026, including extended win streaks and multiple titles that have established him as the clear leader among traders. A recent right knee injury forced his withdrawal from the Cincinnati Open, introducing some uncertainty about peak fitness heading into Flushing Meadows. Carlos Alcaraz holds the next spot as defending champion while managing a wrist issue, with strong outdoor hard-court results earlier in the season supporting his implied probability. Alexander Zverev follows on the back of French Open success and solid recent form, ahead of Novak Djokovic’s veteran experience and younger contenders like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, whose market positions reflect head-to-head records, ranking trajectories, and hard-court trends.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,870,757
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner tops the 2026 Men’s US Open winner market due to his unmatched consistency and hard-court dominance in 2026, including extended win streaks and multiple titles that have established him as the clear leader among traders. A recent right knee injury forced his withdrawal from the Cincinnati Open, introducing some uncertainty about peak fitness heading into Flushing Meadows. Carlos Alcaraz holds the next spot as defending champion while managing a wrist issue, with strong outdoor hard-court results earlier in the season supporting his implied probability. Alexander Zverev follows on the back of French Open success and solid recent form, ahead of Novak Djokovic’s veteran experience and younger contenders like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, whose market positions reflect head-to-head records, ranking trajectories, and hard-court trends.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,870,757
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 33%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $7.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.