Universitario holds the highest implied probability among Liga 1 contenders due to its deep squad, recent appointment of Fabián Bustos as manager, and push for a fourth consecutive title amid a competitive Apertura-Clausura format leading to playoffs. Alianza Lima leads the aggregate table with 56 points but sits mid-pack in the ongoing Clausura, tempering its market position. Deportivo Garcilaso tops the Clausura with strong recent results, including a 4-0 win over Universitario, while teams like Comerciantes Unidos, Deportivo Moquegua, and Alianza Atlético maintain mid-40s probabilities through consistent form and schedule positioning. Sporting Cristal's low standing reflects weaker aggregate results and inconsistent Clausura performances despite its pedigree. The wisdom of crowds in these probabilities highlights the league's unpredictability, with home/away splits, rest advantages, and potential playoff matchups shaping outcomes more than raw points alone.