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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 30%

Elena Rybakina 9.0%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Polymarket

$6,571,129 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 30%

Elena Rybakina 9.0%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Polymarket

$6,571,129 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$51,123 Vol.

30%

Elena Rybakina

$98,706 Vol.

9%

Coco Gauff

$34,921 Vol.

9%

Iga Swiatek

$27,769 Vol.

9%

Naomi Osaka

$31,648 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$42,626 Vol.

6%

Alexandra Eala

$301,780 Vol.

4%

Jessica Pegula

$112,109 Vol.

4%

Linda Noskova

$29,464 Vol.

3%

Amanda Anisimova

$69,625 Vol.

3%

Karolina Muchova

$44,286 Vol.

2%

Elina Svitolina

$29,967 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$29,261 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$550,913 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$55,388 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$63,351 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$52,114 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$49,131 Vol.

1%

Marie Bouzkova

$49,546 Vol.

<1%

Qinwen Zheng

$264,821 Vol.

<1%

Jasmine Paolini

$30,029 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Valentova

$565,573 Vol.

<1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$53,293 Vol.

<1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$39,629 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$20,140 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$448,022 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$24,554 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$143,923 Vol.

<1%

Paula Badosa

$30,767 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$22,080 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$75,460 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$44,454 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,035,597 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$35,201 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$193,195 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$41,542 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$17,652 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,664,838 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$59,495 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$37,203 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads the 2026 US Open market as the clear favorite due to her status as world No. 1, two-time defending champion, and dominant hard-court form, including 2026 titles at Indian Wells, Miami, and Brisbane plus a 36-6 overall record. The Belarusian’s power baseline game and serve have produced consistent deep runs on the surface, positioning her ahead of Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff despite a recent Australian Open final loss. Iga Swiatek’s ranking has slipped after early exits, while Mirra Andreeva and Naomi Osaka offer upside but lack Sabalenka’s recent hard-court volume. A wide field reflects injury concerns, including Emma Raducanu’s withdrawal with a stress fracture, and variable recent form among contenders, making schedule health and hard-court adaptation the primary variables heading into the late-August event.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,571,129
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads the 2026 US Open market as the clear favorite due to her status as world No. 1, two-time defending champion, and dominant hard-court form, including 2026 titles at Indian Wells, Miami, and Brisbane plus a 36-6 overall record. The Belarusian’s power baseline game and serve have produced consistent deep runs on the surface, positioning her ahead of Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff despite a recent Australian Open final loss. Iga Swiatek’s ranking has slipped after early exits, while Mirra Andreeva and Naomi Osaka offer upside but lack Sabalenka’s recent hard-court volume. A wide field reflects injury concerns, including Emma Raducanu’s withdrawal with a stress fracture, and variable recent form among contenders, making schedule health and hard-court adaptation the primary variables heading into the late-August event.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,571,129
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 30%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.