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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 28%

Elena Rybakina 8.9%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Polymarket

$6,432,630 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 28%

Elena Rybakina 8.9%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Polymarket

$6,432,630 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$47,352 Vol.

28%

Elena Rybakina

$95,757 Vol.

9%

Coco Gauff

$30,702 Vol.

9%

Iga Swiatek

$22,815 Vol.

9%

Naomi Osaka

$31,235 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$40,642 Vol.

6%

Alexandra Eala

$296,586 Vol.

5%

Jessica Pegula

$110,427 Vol.

4%

Linda Noskova

$29,161 Vol.

4%

Amanda Anisimova

$67,037 Vol.

3%

Karolina Muchova

$41,284 Vol.

3%

Elina Svitolina

$21,503 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$29,231 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$549,881 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$61,767 Vol.

1%

Victoria Mboko

$36,088 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$49,548 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$23,450 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$50,489 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$36,573 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$262,580 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$42,692 Vol.

1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$18,030 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Valentova

$561,315 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$42,461 Vol.

<1%

Paula Badosa

$22,855 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$442,904 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$22,880 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$135,148 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$19,149 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$67,560 Vol.

<1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$46,685 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$39,620 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,032,533 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$33,701 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$193,060 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$39,542 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$15,152 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,664,738 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$58,495 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the top implied probability in the 2026 US Open women's singles market at 27.5 percent, driven by her No. 1 WTA ranking, multiple 2026 WTA 1000 titles including Indian Wells and Miami, and proven hard-court power baseline game that aligns with Flushing Meadows conditions. Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek, and Mirra Andreeva sit in the 6–9 percent range, reflecting strong recent results, deep Grand Slam runs, and consistent top-five form, though each has shown surface-specific variability or minor injury interruptions this season. The wide field stems from frequent upsets among elites, shifting rankings, and the absence of a dominant hard-court specialist beyond Sabalenka entering the final major. Trader consensus weighs recent title counts, head-to-head hard-court records, and physical durability as primary differentiators.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,432,630
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the top implied probability in the 2026 US Open women's singles market at 27.5 percent, driven by her No. 1 WTA ranking, multiple 2026 WTA 1000 titles including Indian Wells and Miami, and proven hard-court power baseline game that aligns with Flushing Meadows conditions. Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek, and Mirra Andreeva sit in the 6–9 percent range, reflecting strong recent results, deep Grand Slam runs, and consistent top-five form, though each has shown surface-specific variability or minor injury interruptions this season. The wide field stems from frequent upsets among elites, shifting rankings, and the absence of a dominant hard-court specialist beyond Sabalenka entering the final major. Trader consensus weighs recent title counts, head-to-head hard-court records, and physical durability as primary differentiators.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,432,630
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 28%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.