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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Iga Swiatek 13%

Elena Rybakina 9.8%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Polymarket

$6,710,549 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Iga Swiatek 13%

Elena Rybakina 9.8%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Polymarket

$6,710,549 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$61,643 Vol.

26%

Iga Swiatek

$44,700 Vol.

13%

Elena Rybakina

$110,099 Vol.

10%

Coco Gauff

$42,462 Vol.

9%

Naomi Osaka

$34,465 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$42,794 Vol.

6%

Jessica Pegula

$116,516 Vol.

4%

Alexandra Eala

$303,346 Vol.

4%

Linda Noskova

$32,897 Vol.

3%

Amanda Anisimova

$70,634 Vol.

3%

Elina Svitolina

$33,367 Vol.

2%

Karolina Muchova

$47,325 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$32,121 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$553,266 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$56,787 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$56,455 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$52,614 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$72,342 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$270,406 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$49,131 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$41,733 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$30,209 Vol.

1%

Marie Bouzkova

$50,493 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Valentova

$565,595 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$32,628 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$146,422 Vol.

<1%

Paula Badosa

$34,317 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$448,082 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$48,182 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$29,226 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$76,322 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$28,364 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,036,195 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$35,201 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$198,525 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$41,542 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$17,652 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,665,603 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$59,495 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$41,391 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the top implied probability at 25.5% as the two-time defending US Open champion with an exceptional recent hard-court record, including multiple titles and deep Grand Slam runs that highlight her power baseline game and serving consistency on the surface. Iga Swiatek’s 12.5% share reflects a recent National Bank Open victory over Elena Rybakina, signaling improved hard-court momentum after earlier 2026 inconsistencies, while Rybakina, Coco Gauff, and Naomi Osaka sit in the 7–10% range due to strong overall rankings, prior major results, and stylistic matchups favoring aggressive play on faster courts. A wide field underscores depth in women’s tennis, with key differentiators including summer hard-court form, injury resilience, and head-to-head records among top contenders entering the final preparatory events.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,710,549
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the top implied probability at 25.5% as the two-time defending US Open champion with an exceptional recent hard-court record, including multiple titles and deep Grand Slam runs that highlight her power baseline game and serving consistency on the surface. Iga Swiatek’s 12.5% share reflects a recent National Bank Open victory over Elena Rybakina, signaling improved hard-court momentum after earlier 2026 inconsistencies, while Rybakina, Coco Gauff, and Naomi Osaka sit in the 7–10% range due to strong overall rankings, prior major results, and stylistic matchups favoring aggressive play on faster courts. A wide field underscores depth in women’s tennis, with key differentiators including summer hard-court form, injury resilience, and head-to-head records among top contenders entering the final preparatory events.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,710,549
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, followed by "Iga Swiatek" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iga Swiatek" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.