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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Politics·Global Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Politics·Global Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$425,177 Vol.

Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$425,177 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9,219 Vol.

96%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$32,609 Vol.

90%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$7,162 Vol.

87%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,388 Vol.

83%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$18,462 Vol.

82%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$14,661 Vol.

79%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$11,670 Vol.

74%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,851 Vol.

67%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$13,686 Vol.

63%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$14,215 Vol.

57%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$18,295 Vol.

41%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$18,934 Vol.

29%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$11,971 Vol.

28%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$12,120 Vol.

27%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,421 Vol.

24%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$7,628 Vol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$7,593 Vol.

12%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,476 Vol.

12%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$10,695 Vol.

11%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$1,994 Vol.

9%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$33,498 Vol.

8%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$30,535 Vol.

8%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2,984 Vol.

8%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$13,968 Vol.

8%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$10,994 Vol.

7%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,117 Vol.

6%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$2,167 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,962 Vol.

6%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,639 Vol.

6%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$3,103 Vol.

5%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$7,801 Vol.

5%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,351 Vol.

5%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$6,989 Vol.

5%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,263 Vol.

5%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$4,137 Vol.

4%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$3,829 Vol.

4%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$11,096 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,221 Vol.

4%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,348 Vol.

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,423 Vol.

4%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,780 Vol.

4%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$9,501 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,369 Vol.

3%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$5,911 Vol.

2%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,833 Vol.

1%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$3,309 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leads first-round polling at 32–36% following her July 2026 court ruling that shortened an eligibility ban, positioning her as the clear frontrunner for one of the two runoff spots. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has risen to 15–17% and qualifies for the second round in most tested scenarios, reflecting voter polarization between the extremes. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal compete for the fragmented center-right, while Bruno Retailleau anchors the traditional right; a center-left primary scheduled for October 2026 will narrow socialist and social-democratic options ahead of the April 18, 2027 first round. Recent candidate declarations, including Éric Zemmour’s in September 2026, and the requirement for 500 elected sponsors by March 2027 continue to shape the final ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$425,177
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leads first-round polling at 32–36% following her July 2026 court ruling that shortened an eligibility ban, positioning her as the clear frontrunner for one of the two runoff spots. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has risen to 15–17% and qualifies for the second round in most tested scenarios, reflecting voter polarization between the extremes. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal compete for the fragmented center-right, while Bruno Retailleau anchors the traditional right; a center-left primary scheduled for October 2026 will narrow socialist and social-democratic options ahead of the April 18, 2027 first round. Recent candidate declarations, including Éric Zemmour’s in September 2026, and the requirement for 500 elected sponsors by March 2027 continue to shape the final ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$425,177
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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icon for Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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icon for Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, followed by "Marine Le Pen" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $425.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.