Manchester City lead the early Premier League table with a perfect five-win record under new manager Enzo Maresca, positioning them as the top consensus pick for runner-up at 34.5% implied probability. Defending champions Arsenal sit second on 12 points after a 3-0 defeat at Brighton, which has narrowed the title race in models and supports their 26.5% share as the likeliest alternative. Chelsea, Manchester United, and Liverpool trail further back with mixed results and lower market pricing reflecting squad transitions and inconsistent form through the opening weeks. Recent results, including City’s 5-3 win over Sunderland and broader early standings, have reinforced trader focus on the two Manchester clubs and Arsenal dominating top-two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedManchester City 35%
Arsenal 27%
Chelsea 14%
Manchester United 11%
$11,531 Vol.
$11,531 Vol.
Manchester City
35%
Arsenal
27%
Chelsea
14%
Manchester United
11%
Liverpool
4%
Aston Villa
2%
Brentford
1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
Leeds United
<1%
Tottenham Hotspur
<1%
Newcastle United
<1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Fulham
<1%
Nottingham Forest
<1%
Sunderland
<1%
Coventry City
<1%
Everton
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
Hull City
<1%
Ipswich Town
<1%
Manchester City 35%
Arsenal 27%
Chelsea 14%
Manchester United 11%
$11,531 Vol.
$11,531 Vol.
Manchester City
35%
Arsenal
27%
Chelsea
14%
Manchester United
11%
Liverpool
4%
Aston Villa
2%
Brentford
1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
Leeds United
<1%
Tottenham Hotspur
<1%
Newcastle United
<1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Fulham
<1%
Nottingham Forest
<1%
Sunderland
<1%
Coventry City
<1%
Everton
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
Hull City
<1%
Ipswich Town
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premier League for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Premier League (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.premierleague.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premier League for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Premier League (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.premierleague.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Manchester City lead the early Premier League table with a perfect five-win record under new manager Enzo Maresca, positioning them as the top consensus pick for runner-up at 34.5% implied probability. Defending champions Arsenal sit second on 12 points after a 3-0 defeat at Brighton, which has narrowed the title race in models and supports their 26.5% share as the likeliest alternative. Chelsea, Manchester United, and Liverpool trail further back with mixed results and lower market pricing reflecting squad transitions and inconsistent form through the opening weeks. Recent results, including City’s 5-3 win over Sunderland and broader early standings, have reinforced trader focus on the two Manchester clubs and Arsenal dominating top-two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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