Uzbekistan’s commanding position in the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section stems from its perfect 12/12 match points after six rounds in Samarkand, including a 2.5-1.5 victory over defending champion India. The hosts’ deep roster, featuring Nodirbek Abdusattorov and Javokhir Sindarov, benefits from home-soil familiarity and recent form, aligning with trader consensus at 57%. The United States, top seeds on paper with Fabiano Caruana and Wesley So, sit mid-pack on tiebreaks, while India’s reshuffled lineup and China’s solid results keep multiple teams within range in the remaining five rounds of the Swiss-system event. Depth, pairings, and rest-day recovery will shape final outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUzbekistan 57%
China 14.9%
India 10%
United States of America 8.1%
$201,035 Vol.
$201,035 Vol.
Uzbekistan
57%
China
15%
India
10%
United States of America
8%
Germany
4%
Armenia
2%
France
1%
Netherlands
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Hungary
<1%
Turkiye
<1%
Serbia
<1%
England
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Spain
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Greece
<1%
Iran
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Norway
<1%
Poland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
Uzbekistan 57%
China 14.9%
India 10%
United States of America 8.1%
$201,035 Vol.
$201,035 Vol.
Uzbekistan
57%
China
15%
India
10%
United States of America
8%
Germany
4%
Armenia
2%
France
1%
Netherlands
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Hungary
<1%
Turkiye
<1%
Serbia
<1%
England
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Spain
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Greece
<1%
Iran
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Norway
<1%
Poland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Uzbekistan’s commanding position in the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section stems from its perfect 12/12 match points after six rounds in Samarkand, including a 2.5-1.5 victory over defending champion India. The hosts’ deep roster, featuring Nodirbek Abdusattorov and Javokhir Sindarov, benefits from home-soil familiarity and recent form, aligning with trader consensus at 57%. The United States, top seeds on paper with Fabiano Caruana and Wesley So, sit mid-pack on tiebreaks, while India’s reshuffled lineup and China’s solid results keep multiple teams within range in the remaining five rounds of the Swiss-system event. Depth, pairings, and rest-day recovery will shape final outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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