Strong trader consensus on "No" at 94% reflects the persistent gap between current AI art auction results and the $10 million threshold, with the verified record still at Ai-Da robot’s $1.08 million Sotheby’s sale from late 2024. Recent 2025 dedicated sales, such as Christie’s Augmented Intelligence event topping out at Refik Anadol’s $277,200, show steady but limited collector demand amid ongoing questions over authorship, training data provenance, and preference for human-directed generative works. With only months remaining in 2026 and no announced lots or capability leaps signaling a sudden surge, market-implied odds capture the low probability of a breakthrough hammer price at houses like Sotheby’s or Christie’s. A surprise institutional consignment or viral AI milestone could theoretically shift sentiment, though historical patterns make that unlikely before year-end.