The redrawn Alabama 2nd congressional district, cleared by the Supreme Court for use in 2026, now carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+7 and favored Donald Trump by double digits in the prior presidential cycle, positioning Republican nominee Rhett Marques as the clear frontrunner. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary and holds endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt. Recent Democratic internal polling shows a statistical tie, yet nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures remains competitive on name recognition and fundraising but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured electorate ahead of the November 3 general election.