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Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

icon for Alaska Governor Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Tom Begich 38%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.4%

Treg Taylor 10.1%

Polymarket

$972,541 Vol.

Tom Begich 38%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.4%

Treg Taylor 10.1%

Polymarket

$972,541 Vol.

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$115,001 Vol.

38%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$151,088 Vol.

25%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$7,305 Vol.

11%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$19,709 Vol.

10%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$9,212 Vol.

6%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$117,091 Vol.

6%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$10,684 Vol.

5%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$29,625 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$39,155 Vol.

1%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$324,702 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$5,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$104,135 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$8,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$9,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$13,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$3,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$4,756 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from late April has positioned Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, driving his 38% market share ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 24.5%. A nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the general election favor Begich’s broader appeal, as shown in simulations where he reaches 54% against Wilson. The crowded Republican field—including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and David Bronson—fragments support and sustains vote-splitting. Fundraising reports confirm Begich’s strong early hauls from Alaskan donors, while Mary Peltola’s Senate bid cleared the Democratic lane. These factors shape trader consensus on advancement and general-election viability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$972,541
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from late April has positioned Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, driving his 38% market share ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 24.5%. A nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the general election favor Begich’s broader appeal, as shown in simulations where he reaches 54% against Wilson. The crowded Republican field—including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and David Bronson—fragments support and sustains vote-splitting. Fundraising reports confirm Begich’s strong early hauls from Alaskan donors, while Mary Peltola’s Senate bid cleared the Democratic lane. These factors shape trader consensus on advancement and general-election viability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$972,541
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 38%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner " has generated $972.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " is "Tom Begich" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.