Alphabet’s market capitalization has stabilized near $4.2 trillion in mid-August 2026 after Q2 results showed 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and robust Google Cloud expansion, tempered by a capex guidance increase to $195–205 billion that weighed on the share price. With only two weeks remaining until month-end and no major earnings or policy catalysts scheduled, the narrow trading range and modest daily price swings keep the $4.00–4.50 trillion band the dominant outcome in trader positioning. Sustained AI-related momentum in search and cloud supports the secondary $4.50–5.00 trillion probability, while broader equity-market stability limits downside risk to the sub-$4.00 trillion tiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50T 62%
$4.50-$5.00T 28%
$3.50-$4.00T 14.9%
$5.50-$6.00T 1.3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
7%
$3.50-$4.00T
15%
$4.00-$4.50T
62%
$4.50-$5.00T
28%
$5.00-$5.50T
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
1%
$6.00T+
6%
$4.00-$4.50T 62%
$4.50-$5.00T 28%
$3.50-$4.00T 14.9%
$5.50-$6.00T 1.3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$315 Vol.
7%
$3.50-$4.00T
$376 Vol.
15%
$4.00-$4.50T
$3,421 Vol.
62%
$4.50-$5.00T
$4,020 Vol.
28%
$5.00-$5.50T
$151 Vol.
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
$218 Vol.
1%
$6.00T+
$256 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s market capitalization has stabilized near $4.2 trillion in mid-August 2026 after Q2 results showed 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and robust Google Cloud expansion, tempered by a capex guidance increase to $195–205 billion that weighed on the share price. With only two weeks remaining until month-end and no major earnings or policy catalysts scheduled, the narrow trading range and modest daily price swings keep the $4.00–4.50 trillion band the dominant outcome in trader positioning. Sustained AI-related momentum in search and cloud supports the secondary $4.50–5.00 trillion probability, while broader equity-market stability limits downside risk to the sub-$4.00 trillion tiers.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$8,757End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s market capitalization has stabilized near $4.2 trillion in mid-August 2026 after Q2 results showed 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and robust Google Cloud expansion, tempered by a capex guidance increase to $195–205 billion that weighed on the share price. With only two weeks remaining until month-end and no major earnings or policy catalysts scheduled, the narrow trading range and modest daily price swings keep the $4.00–4.50 trillion band the dominant outcome in trader positioning. Sustained AI-related momentum in search and cloud supports the secondary $4.50–5.00 trillion probability, while broader equity-market stability limits downside risk to the sub-$4.00 trillion tiers.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$8,757End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s market capitalization has stabilized near $4.2 trillion in mid-August 2026 after Q2 results showed 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and robust Google Cloud expansion, tempered by a capex guidance increase to $195–205 billion that weighed on the share price. With only two weeks remaining until month-end and no major earnings or policy catalysts scheduled, the narrow trading range and modest daily price swings keep the $4.00–4.50 trillion band the dominant outcome in trader positioning. Sustained AI-related momentum in search and cloud supports the secondary $4.50–5.00 trillion probability, while broader equity-market stability limits downside risk to the sub-$4.00 trillion tiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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