Recent polling from Quaest shows Rayssa Furlan leading overall intentions for Amapá's two Senate seats, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain closely matched for second place in both consolidated and simulated second-vote scenarios. The state's dual-vote system, combined with 34% spontaneous undecided voters and low single-digit support for other registered candidates such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, sustains tight positioning across multiple contenders. An upcoming televised debate on September 25 and the October 4 election date leave room for late shifts in preference that could reorder the second spot without altering the frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin and procedural uncertainty.