The cancellation of The Bachelorette Season 22, announced days before its planned March 22, 2026 premiere, drives the 58% implied probability on the season-cancelled outcome. ABC and Disney Entertainment Television pulled the season starring Taylor Frankie Paul after a 2023 domestic altercation video surfaced, shifting focus to family support rather than broadcast. Spoiler accounts like Reality Steve had positioned Doug Mason as the reported winner who got engaged during filming, which accounts for his 29% market share, though reports indicate the pair split afterward. The remaining low-probability contestants reflect minimal trader conviction in an unaired season, with no confirmed revival or alternative resolution path emerging in the months since the March decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled) 76%
Casey Hux 1.0%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
Ronn Perez <1%
$2,455,955 Vol.
$2,455,955 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
61%
Casey Hux
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Clayton Johnson
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Michael Baba
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Doug Mason
27%
Other (Season Cancelled) 76%
Casey Hux 1.0%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
Ronn Perez <1%
$2,455,955 Vol.
$2,455,955 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
61%
Casey Hux
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Clayton Johnson
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Michael Baba
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Doug Mason
27%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The cancellation of The Bachelorette Season 22, announced days before its planned March 22, 2026 premiere, drives the 58% implied probability on the season-cancelled outcome. ABC and Disney Entertainment Television pulled the season starring Taylor Frankie Paul after a 2023 domestic altercation video surfaced, shifting focus to family support rather than broadcast. Spoiler accounts like Reality Steve had positioned Doug Mason as the reported winner who got engaged during filming, which accounts for his 29% market share, though reports indicate the pair split afterward. The remaining low-probability contestants reflect minimal trader conviction in an unaired season, with no confirmed revival or alternative resolution path emerging in the months since the March decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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