With multiple tracks clustered near even odds for the Billboard Hot 100 number-two position the week of August 15, trader sentiment highlights a crowded field where streaming velocity, radio airplay, and release timing will decide the outcome. Ariana Grande's "Petal" and "hate that i made you love me," Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas," and Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" each sit at 43% implied probability, reflecting comparable fan-driven plays and promotional pushes without a clear frontrunner. Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" at 14% trails amid stiffer competition from established catalog and newer singles. Final chart data on streaming metrics and sales through the tracking week remain the key swing factors in this open contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 15
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 15
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 62%
Boston - Stella Lefty 48%
Be Her - Ella Langley 44%
Petal - Ariana Grande 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
62%
Boston - Stella Lefty
48%
Be Her - Ella Langley
44%
Petal - Ariana Grande
43%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
43%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
43%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
43%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
43%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 62%
Boston - Stella Lefty 48%
Be Her - Ella Langley 44%
Petal - Ariana Grande 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$533 Vol.
62%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$533 Vol.
48%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$539 Vol.
44%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
43%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$0 Vol.
43%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$0 Vol.
43%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
43%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$0 Vol.
43%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.With multiple tracks clustered near even odds for the Billboard Hot 100 number-two position the week of August 15, trader sentiment highlights a crowded field where streaming velocity, radio airplay, and release timing will decide the outcome. Ariana Grande's "Petal" and "hate that i made you love me," Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas," and Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" each sit at 43% implied probability, reflecting comparable fan-driven plays and promotional pushes without a clear frontrunner. Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" at 14% trails amid stiffer competition from established catalog and newer singles. Final chart data on streaming metrics and sales through the tracking week remain the key swing factors in this open contest.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
Volume
$1,606End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.With multiple tracks clustered near even odds for the Billboard Hot 100 number-two position the week of August 15, trader sentiment highlights a crowded field where streaming velocity, radio airplay, and release timing will decide the outcome. Ariana Grande's "Petal" and "hate that i made you love me," Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas," and Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" each sit at 43% implied probability, reflecting comparable fan-driven plays and promotional pushes without a clear frontrunner. Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" at 14% trails amid stiffer competition from established catalog and newer singles. Final chart data on streaming metrics and sales through the tracking week remain the key swing factors in this open contest.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$1,606End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With multiple tracks clustered near even odds for the Billboard Hot 100 number-two position the week of August 15, trader sentiment highlights a crowded field where streaming velocity, radio airplay, and release timing will decide the outcome. Ariana Grande's "Petal" and "hate that i made you love me," Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas," and Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" each sit at 43% implied probability, reflecting comparable fan-driven plays and promotional pushes without a clear frontrunner. Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" at 14% trails amid stiffer competition from established catalog and newer singles. Final chart data on streaming metrics and sales through the tracking week remain the key swing factors in this open contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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