The 2026-27 Bundesliga season opens on August 28 with three newly promoted sides—Schalke 04, SV Elversberg, and SC Paderborn—widely viewed as the primary relegation candidates due to squad depth gaps, limited top-flight experience, and the typical adjustment struggles of promoted clubs. Schalke returns after three years away with additions like Edin Džeko but faces a steep step up in competition, while Elversberg makes its Bundesliga debut and Paderborn returns via playoff victory over Wolfsburg. Mid-table sides such as 1. FC Köln, Werder Bremen, and Hamburger SV also enter the mix with recent defensive concerns and inconsistent results from the prior campaign. The bottom two finishers face automatic relegation to the 2. Bundesliga, with 16th place entering the two-legged playoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC Paderborn
62%
Werder Bremen
54%
1. FC Köln
50%
Union Berlin
50%
VfB Stuttgart
50%
FC Schalke 04
50%
Hamburger SV
50%
Mainz 05
50%
SC Freiburg
50%
SV Elversberg
49%
FC Augsburg
46%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
44%
Eintracht Frankfurt
39%
TSG Hoffenheim
38%
RB Leipzig
28%
Bayer Leverkusen
21%
Borussia Dortmund
21%
Bayern Munich
21%
$0.00 Vol.
SC Paderborn
62%
Werder Bremen
54%
1. FC Köln
50%
Union Berlin
50%
VfB Stuttgart
50%
FC Schalke 04
50%
Hamburger SV
50%
Mainz 05
50%
SC Freiburg
50%
SV Elversberg
49%
FC Augsburg
46%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
44%
Eintracht Frankfurt
39%
TSG Hoffenheim
38%
RB Leipzig
28%
Bayer Leverkusen
21%
Borussia Dortmund
21%
Bayern Munich
21%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026-27 Bundesliga season opens on August 28 with three newly promoted sides—Schalke 04, SV Elversberg, and SC Paderborn—widely viewed as the primary relegation candidates due to squad depth gaps, limited top-flight experience, and the typical adjustment struggles of promoted clubs. Schalke returns after three years away with additions like Edin Džeko but faces a steep step up in competition, while Elversberg makes its Bundesliga debut and Paderborn returns via playoff victory over Wolfsburg. Mid-table sides such as 1. FC Köln, Werder Bremen, and Hamburger SV also enter the mix with recent defensive concerns and inconsistent results from the prior campaign. The bottom two finishers face automatic relegation to the 2. Bundesliga, with 16th place entering the two-legged playoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions