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Politics·Canada

Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Marianne Meed Ward 62%

Lisa Kearns 20%

Rory Nisan 16%

Keith Demoe 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Marianne Meed Ward 62%

Lisa Kearns 20%

Rory Nisan 16%

Keith Demoe 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Marianne Meed Ward

Marianne Meed Ward

$340 Vol.

62%

icon for Lisa Kearns

Lisa Kearns

$100 Vol.

20%

icon for Rory Nisan

Rory Nisan

$102 Vol.

16%

icon for Keith Demoe

Keith Demoe

$67 Vol.

1%

icon for Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee

Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee

$88 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.Marianne Meed Ward holds the leading position in the Burlington, Ontario mayoral market at 62 percent, reflecting her status as the incumbent seeking a third term ahead of the October 26, 2026 vote. Nominations closed on August 21 with five candidates confirmed, including sitting councillors Lisa Kearns and Rory Nisan as the main challengers. A mid-August poll showed Meed Ward ahead at 38 percent among decided and leaning voters, followed by Nisan at 33 percent and Kearns at 23 percent, indicating a competitive three-way contest with significant undecided voters. Trader consensus appears to price in Meed Ward’s incumbency edge and council experience while assigning lower probabilities to the challengers, whose campaigns focus on growth, transit, and fiscal issues. Low-probability outcomes for other listed candidates align with their limited visibility following the close of nominations.

The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.
Volume
$698
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.
The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.Marianne Meed Ward holds the leading position in the Burlington, Ontario mayoral market at 62 percent, reflecting her status as the incumbent seeking a third term ahead of the October 26, 2026 vote. Nominations closed on August 21 with five candidates confirmed, including sitting councillors Lisa Kearns and Rory Nisan as the main challengers. A mid-August poll showed Meed Ward ahead at 38 percent among decided and leaning voters, followed by Nisan at 33 percent and Kearns at 23 percent, indicating a competitive three-way contest with significant undecided voters. Trader consensus appears to price in Meed Ward’s incumbency edge and council experience while assigning lower probabilities to the challengers, whose campaigns focus on growth, transit, and fiscal issues. Low-probability outcomes for other listed candidates align with their limited visibility following the close of nominations.

The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.
Volume
$698
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marianne Meed Ward" at 62%, followed by "Lisa Kearns" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Marianne Meed Ward" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lisa Kearns" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.