Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 10th congressional district with roughly 60 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese. The East Bay district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. DeSaulnier's established incumbency advantage, combined with consistent fundraising and voter support in a low-turnout primary, has reinforced trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national political shift or significant local developments capable of altering the district's established voting patterns between now and November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$18,675 거래량
$18,675 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
$18,675 거래량
$18,675 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$11,952 거래량
96%
Republican Party
$6,724 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 10th congressional district with roughly 60 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese. The East Bay district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. DeSaulnier's established incumbency advantage, combined with consistent fundraising and voter support in a low-turnout primary, has reinforced trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national political shift or significant local developments capable of altering the district's established voting patterns between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
거래량
$18,675종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 10th congressional district with roughly 60 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese. The East Bay district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. DeSaulnier's established incumbency advantage, combined with consistent fundraising and voter support in a low-turnout primary, has reinforced trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national political shift or significant local developments capable of altering the district's established voting patterns between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,675종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 10th congressional district with roughly 60 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese. The East Bay district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. DeSaulnier's established incumbency advantage, combined with consistent fundraising and voter support in a low-turnout primary, has reinforced trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A Republican upset would require either an unprecedented national political shift or significant local developments capable of altering the district's established voting patterns between now and November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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