Canada's federal government introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, in June 2026 to establish a Digital Safety Commission and impose a 16-year minimum age requirement for social media accounts, with exemptions possible for platforms demonstrating adequate child safeguards. The legislation must still clear first and subsequent readings in the House of Commons, Senate passage, and royal assent before any ban could take effect. Officials have noted that regulator setup could require up to 18 months after enactment, while the minority Liberal government's slim parliamentary majority and the bill's history of prior stalled online harms proposals add procedural uncertainty. These legislative and timing factors underpin trader consensus that a binding under-16 restriction is unlikely to pass into law during 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated12% chance
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NEW
Dec 31, 2026
12% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
On June 10, 2026, the Government of Canada introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, which would bar Canadians under the age of 16 from holding social media accounts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada's federal government introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, in June 2026 to establish a Digital Safety Commission and impose a 16-year minimum age requirement for social media accounts, with exemptions possible for platforms demonstrating adequate child safeguards. The legislation must still clear first and subsequent readings in the House of Commons, Senate passage, and royal assent before any ban could take effect. Officials have noted that regulator setup could require up to 18 months after enactment, while the minority Liberal government's slim parliamentary majority and the bill's history of prior stalled online harms proposals add procedural uncertainty. These legislative and timing factors underpin trader consensus that a binding under-16 restriction is unlikely to pass into law during 2026.
On June 10, 2026, the Government of Canada introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, which would bar Canadians under the age of 16 from holding social media accounts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-34Resolver
0x65070BE91...On June 10, 2026, the Government of Canada introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, which would bar Canadians under the age of 16 from holding social media accounts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada's federal government introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, in June 2026 to establish a Digital Safety Commission and impose a 16-year minimum age requirement for social media accounts, with exemptions possible for platforms demonstrating adequate child safeguards. The legislation must still clear first and subsequent readings in the House of Commons, Senate passage, and royal assent before any ban could take effect. Officials have noted that regulator setup could require up to 18 months after enactment, while the minority Liberal government's slim parliamentary majority and the bill's history of prior stalled online harms proposals add procedural uncertainty. These legislative and timing factors underpin trader consensus that a binding under-16 restriction is unlikely to pass into law during 2026.
On June 10, 2026, the Government of Canada introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, which would bar Canadians under the age of 16 from holding social media accounts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-34Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, in June 2026 to establish a Digital Safety Commission and impose a 16-year minimum age requirement for social media accounts, with exemptions possible for platforms demonstrating adequate child safeguards. The legislation must still clear first and subsequent readings in the House of Commons, Senate passage, and royal assent before any ban could take effect. Officials have noted that regulator setup could require up to 18 months after enactment, while the minority Liberal government's slim parliamentary majority and the bill's history of prior stalled online harms proposals add procedural uncertainty. These legislative and timing factors underpin trader consensus that a binding under-16 restriction is unlikely to pass into law during 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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